Our tips
Locked two hours before kick offSafe tip64%
Over 2.5 goalsMost likely to winPrice 1.56+0.2% value1 unit
Bold tip32%
Aston Villa to winBigger price, loses more oftenPrice 3.20+2.9% value1 unit
Shujaa verdict
From results, prices, form and restOur prediction for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa is Newcastle United to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.56.
Newcastle recent form+3%Aston Villa recent form+3%Newcastle league table+2%Aston Villa league table-2%
Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works
Team records
Last 20 games, all competitions
NewcastleAston Villa
20Games played20
8Wins11
4Draws3
8Losses6
30Goals scored40
35Goals conceded26
1.5Scored per game2.0
1.8Conceded per game1.3
5W 3D 3LHome record5W 0D 3L
3W 1D 5LAway record6W 3D 3L
15%Clean sheets25%
75%Both teams scored55%
65%Over 2.5 goals70%
Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.
Key players
Top of each side this seasonNewcastle United Aston Villa Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.
Goals and markets
Chance and fair priceBoth teams to score63%1.58
Aston Villa or draw53%1.87
Newcastle win and over 2.533%3.01
Aston Villa win and over 2.520%4.97
Most likely scores
1-110.9%
2-19.3%
1-27.2%
1-06.8%
2-06.7%
Price check
Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.
Where to bet on Newcastle v Aston Villa
Our top pick is Over 2.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.
Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.
Match preview
Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: Newcastle United are favourites- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Newcastle United 47%, the draw 24% and Aston Villa 29%. The bookmakers agree and make Newcastle United the favourite at 2.05.
- 2
Recent formNewcastle United took 10 points from their last 5 games and Aston Villa took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
- 3
Home and awayNewcastle United won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Aston Villa won 6 of their last 12 on the road.
- 4
GoalsNewcastle United score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.8. Aston Villa score 2.0 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Newcastle United games and 14 of Aston Villa games in that run.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 2 meetings, Newcastle United won 1 and Aston Villa won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Aston Villa 1, Newcastle United 3.
- 6
The safest betOver 2.5 goals has a 64% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Newcastle United form
Newcastle United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.
Aston Villa form
Aston Villa have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 2 times in our records. Newcastle United won 1, Aston Villa won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Aston Villa 1, Newcastle United 3.
Our call
We expect Newcastle United to score about 1.8 goals and Aston Villa about 1.4. That points to Newcastle United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.56. Our bold bet is Aston Villa to win at 3.20.
Questions people in Kenya ask
Who will win Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?
Our prediction for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa is Newcastle United to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.56.
What is the score prediction for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?
1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Newcastle United to score 1.8 goals and Aston Villa 1.4.
Will both teams score in Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?
Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Newcastle United last 20 games and 11 of Aston Villa last 20.
How are Newcastle United playing?
Newcastle United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.
How are Aston Villa playing?
Aston Villa have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.
What happened when Newcastle United and Aston Villa last met?
It ended Aston Villa 1, Newcastle United 3. In the last 2 meetings Newcastle United won 1 and Aston Villa won 1.
What is the best bet for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?
Over 2.5 goals at 1.56, with a 64% chance. That price pays about 0.2% more than our fair price.
Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.
18+Read this before you bet
- There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Newcastle against Aston Villa. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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