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LaLigaThu 17 Sept, 22:30 EATLa Rosaleda

Málaga vs Villarreal prediction

MálagaHome28%to win
1.25 : 1.65expected goalsDraw 26%
VillarrealAway46%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.26

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip79%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.262 units
Bold tip30%
Villarreal to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.321 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Málaga vs Villarreal is Villarreal to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Málaga recent form-3%Villarreal recent form-4%Málaga rest between games-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
MálagaDDLDL
  • Dat Celta Vigo1-1
  • Dv Levante0-0
  • Lat Real Madrid0-4
  • Dv Deportivo1-1
  • Lat Atlético Madrid0-2
VillarrealLLLDD
  • Lat Borussia Dortmund2-3
  • Lv Deportivo2-3
  • Lat Alavés0-1
  • Dat Atlético Madrid2-2
  • Dat Racing Santander2-2

In numbers, Málaga red and Villarreal green

0.6Points per game1.4
0.4Goals scored per game1.8
1.6Goals conceded per game1.6
20%Clean sheets5%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
MálagaVillarreal
5Games played20
0Wins8
3Draws5
2Losses7
2Goals scored36
8Goals conceded31
0.4Scored per game1.8
1.6Conceded per game1.6
0W 2D 0LHome record6W 0D 2L
0W 1D 2LAway record2W 5D 5L
20%Clean sheets5%
40%Both teams scored80%
20%Over 2.5 goals65%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals55%1.81
Over 3.5 goals33%3.03
Both teams to score58%1.72
Málaga or draw54%1.85
Villarreal or draw72%1.40
Málaga win and over 2.518%5.61
Villarreal win and over 2.530%3.32

Most likely scores

1-112.0%
1-29.4%
0-18.4%
0-27.5%
2-17.1%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Málaga to win28%3.45-2.2%
A Draw26%3.80-2.7%
Villarreal to win46%2.00-7.9%
Over 2.5 goals57%1.63-7.6%
Under 2.5 goals43%2.20-5.1%
Málaga +0.552%1.80-6.7%
Villarreal -0.548%1.87-10.0%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Málaga vs Villarreal: Villarreal are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Málaga 28%, the draw 26% and Villarreal 46%. The bookmakers agree and make Villarreal the favourite at 2.00.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Málaga took 3 points from their last 5 games and Villarreal took 2 from 5. Málaga come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Málaga score 0.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Villarreal score 1.8 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Málaga games and 13 of Villarreal games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Málaga form

Málaga have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 2 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 2. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, L, newest first.

Villarreal form

Villarreal have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Málaga to score about 1.3 goals and Villarreal about 1.6. That points to Villarreal to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Villarreal to win and Over 2.5 at 3.32.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Málaga vs Villarreal?

Our prediction for Málaga vs Villarreal is Villarreal to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Málaga vs Villarreal?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Málaga to score 1.3 goals and Villarreal 1.6.

Will both teams score in Málaga vs Villarreal?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Málaga last 5 games and 16 of Villarreal last 20.

How are Málaga playing?

Málaga have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 2 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 2. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Villarreal playing?

Villarreal have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Málaga vs Villarreal?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Málaga against Villarreal. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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