BundesligaSat 10 Oct, 16:30 EATMEWA ARENA

Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

MainzHome32%to win
1.43 : 1.70expected goalsDraw 25%
Bayer LeverkusenAway43%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.26

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip79%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.262 units
Bold tip28%
A DrawBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.65+0.6% value1 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen is Bayer Leverkusen to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Mainz recent form+3%Leverkusen recent form+3%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
MainzWLWDW
  • Wat Borussia Mönchengladbach4-3
  • Lv Eintracht Frankfurt1-3
  • Wat Hamburg SV5-0
  • Dv SC Paderborn 070-0
  • Wat 1. FC Heidenheim 18462-0
Bayer LeverkusenWWDWL
  • Wv RB Leipzig2-0
  • Wv NK Celje2-0
  • Dat FC Augsburg2-2
  • Wv 1. FC Union Berlin4-0
  • Lat SV Elversberg2-3

In numbers, Mainz red and Leverkusen green

1.6Points per game1.6
1.6Goals scored per game1.9
1.3Goals conceded per game1.4
35%Clean sheets30%

Last meetings

  • Bayer Leverkusen1-1Mainz
  • Mainz3-4Bayer Leverkusen

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
MainzLeverkusen
20Games played20
9Wins8
6Draws8
5Losses4
33Goals scored38
26Goals conceded27
1.6Scored per game1.9
1.3Conceded per game1.4
3W 3D 4LHome record5W 5D 1L
6W 3D 1LAway record3W 3D 3L
35%Clean sheets30%
55%Both teams scored65%
50%Over 2.5 goals50%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals60%1.65
Over 3.5 goals38%2.62
Both teams to score63%1.59
Mainz or draw57%1.76
Leverkusen or draw68%1.47
Mainz win and over 2.522%4.60
Leverkusen win and over 2.530%3.31

Most likely scores

1-111.3%
1-29.0%
2-17.6%
0-16.8%
2-26.5%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Mainz to win34%2.75-5.2%
A Draw28%3.65+0.6%
Bayer Leverkusen to win41%2.15-10.8%
Over 3.5 goals41%2.05-16.2%
Under 3.5 goals58%1.67-3.4%
Mainz +0.557%1.61-8.7%
Bayer Leverkusen -0.542%2.05-14.0%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen: Bayer Leverkusen shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mainz 32%, the draw 25% and Bayer Leverkusen 43%. The bookmakers agree and make Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 2.15.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mainz took 10 points from their last 5 games and Bayer Leverkusen took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mainz won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Bayer Leverkusen won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mainz score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. Bayer Leverkusen score 1.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Mainz games and 10 of Bayer Leverkusen games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Mainz won 0 and Bayer Leverkusen won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Bayer Leverkusen 1, Mainz 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Mainz form

Mainz have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Bayer Leverkusen form

Bayer Leverkusen have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Mainz won 0, Bayer Leverkusen won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Bayer Leverkusen 1, Mainz 1.

Our call

We expect Mainz to score about 1.4 goals and Bayer Leverkusen about 1.7. That points to Bayer Leverkusen to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is A Draw at 3.65.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our prediction for Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen is Bayer Leverkusen to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Mainz to score 1.4 goals and Bayer Leverkusen 1.7.

Will both teams score in Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Mainz last 20 games and 13 of Bayer Leverkusen last 20.

How are Mainz playing?

Mainz have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Bayer Leverkusen playing?

Bayer Leverkusen have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Mainz and Bayer Leverkusen last met?

It ended Bayer Leverkusen 1, Mainz 1. In the last 2 meetings Mainz won 0 and Bayer Leverkusen won 1.

What is the best bet for Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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