BundesligaSat 24 Oct, 16:30 EATMEWA ARENA

Mainz vs Werder Bremen prediction

MainzHome39%to win
1.31 : 1.20expected goalsDraw 28%
Werder BremenAway33%to win
Shujaa safe tipUnder 3.5 goals1.32

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip76%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.322 units
Bold tip14%
Correct score 1-1Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 7.391 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Mainz vs Werder Bremen is Mainz to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Mainz recent form+3%Bremen recent form+3%Mainz rest between games-3%Bremen rest between games-3%Mainz league table0%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
MainzWLWDW
  • Wat Borussia Mönchengladbach4-3
  • Lv Eintracht Frankfurt1-3
  • Wat Hamburg SV5-0
  • Dv SC Paderborn 070-0
  • Wat 1. FC Heidenheim 18462-0
Werder BremenWDWLL
  • Wv FC Augsburg3-2
  • Dat FC Cologne1-1
  • Wv RB Leipzig3-1
  • Lat SC Freiburg1-4
  • Lv Borussia Dortmund0-2

In numbers, Mainz red and Bremen green

1.6Points per game1.1
1.6Goals scored per game1.2
1.3Goals conceded per game1.6
35%Clean sheets10%

Last meetings

  • Werder Bremen0-2Mainz
  • Mainz1-1Werder Bremen

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
MainzBremen
20Games played20
9Wins6
6Draws3
5Losses11
33Goals scored24
26Goals conceded33
1.6Scored per game1.2
1.3Conceded per game1.6
3W 3D 4LHome record4W 1D 6L
6W 3D 1LAway record2W 2D 5L
35%Clean sheets10%
55%Both teams scored60%
50%Over 2.5 goals50%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Bundesliga
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
8. Mainz5212+371.40
7. Werder Bremen5221081.60

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Bundesliga table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Mainz
  • Phillip Tietz
    Phillip TietzTop scorer · F
    4 goals
  • Sheraldo Becker
    Sheraldo BeckerMost assists · F
    3 assists
  • Alexander Schwolow
    Alexander SchwolowKeeper · G
    8 saves
Werder Bremen
  • Niclas Füllkrug
    Niclas FüllkrugTop scorer · F
    4 goals
  • Marco Grüll
    Marco GrüllMost assists · F
    4 assists
  • Karl Hein
    Karl HeinKeeper · G
    18 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.18
Over 3.5 goals24%4.09
Both teams to score52%1.93
Mainz or draw67%1.49
Bremen or draw61%1.63
Mainz win and over 2.522%4.62
Bremen win and over 2.518%5.47

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
1-09.9%
0-19.0%
0-08.9%
2-18.4%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Mainz v Bremen

Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Mainz vs Werder Bremen: Mainz shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Mainz 39%, the draw 28% and Werder Bremen 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Mainz took 10 points from their last 5 games and Werder Bremen took 7 from 5. Mainz come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Mainz won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Werder Bremen won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Mainz score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. Werder Bremen score 1.2 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Mainz games and 10 of Werder Bremen games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Mainz won 1 and Werder Bremen won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Werder Bremen 0, Mainz 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Mainz form

Mainz have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Werder Bremen form

Werder Bremen have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Mainz won 1, Werder Bremen won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Werder Bremen 0, Mainz 2.

Our call

We expect Mainz to score about 1.3 goals and Werder Bremen about 1.2. That points to Mainz to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.39.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Mainz vs Werder Bremen?

Our prediction for Mainz vs Werder Bremen is Mainz to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Mainz vs Werder Bremen?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Mainz to score 1.3 goals and Werder Bremen 1.2.

Will both teams score in Mainz vs Werder Bremen?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Mainz last 20 games and 12 of Werder Bremen last 20.

How are Mainz playing?

Mainz have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Werder Bremen playing?

Werder Bremen have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Mainz and Werder Bremen last met?

It ended Werder Bremen 0, Mainz 2. In the last 2 meetings Mainz won 1 and Werder Bremen won 0.

What is the best bet for Mainz vs Werder Bremen?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Mainz against Bremen. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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