Primeira LigaSun 20 Sept, 22:30 EATEstádio do Dragão

FC Porto vs Benfica prediction

FC PortoHome28%to win
0.94 : 1.20expected goalsDraw 31%
BenficaAway41%to win
Shujaa safe tipUnder 3.5 goals1.20

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip83%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.202 units
Bold tip14%
Correct score 1-1Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 7.111 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for FC Porto vs Benfica is Benfica to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

FC Porto recent form+4%Benfica recent form+7%FC Porto rest between games-5%Benfica rest between games-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
FC PortoWLWWW
  • Wat Casa Pia4-1
  • Lv Manchester City0-2
  • Wv Moreirense2-1
  • Wat Académico de Viseu3-0
  • Wv Arouca2-0
BenficaWWWWW
  • Wv Gil Vicente3-1
  • Wat Moreirense4-0
  • Wat Maritimo3-0
  • Wv Estoril2-1
  • Wat Casa Pia7-0

In numbers, FC Porto red and Benfica green

2.4Points per game2.2
1.9Goals scored per game2.5
0.8Goals conceded per game0.9
45%Clean sheets30%

Last meetings

  • Benfica2-2FC Porto
  • FC Porto0-0Benfica

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
FC PortoBenfica
20Games played20
15Wins13
2Draws5
3Losses2
37Goals scored50
15Goals conceded19
1.9Scored per game2.5
0.8Conceded per game0.9
8W 2D 1LHome record6W 3D 1L
7W 0D 2LAway record7W 2D 1L
45%Clean sheets30%
45%Both teams scored65%
50%Over 2.5 goals85%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals64%1.57
Over 2.5 goals36%2.77
Over 3.5 goals17%5.93
Both teams to score43%2.31
FC Porto or draw59%1.70
Benfica or draw72%1.39
FC Porto win and over 2.513%8.00
Benfica win and over 2.519%5.18

Most likely scores

1-114.1%
0-113.3%
0-012.6%
1-010.3%
0-28.5%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

FC Porto vs Benfica: Benfica shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Porto 28%, the draw 31% and Benfica 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Porto took 12 points from their last 5 games and Benfica took 15 from 5. Benfica come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Porto won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Benfica won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Porto score 1.9 goals a game and let in 0.8. Benfica score 2.5 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of FC Porto games and 17 of Benfica games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, FC Porto won 0 and Benfica won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Benfica 2, FC Porto 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

FC Porto form

FC Porto have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Benfica form

Benfica have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. FC Porto won 0, Benfica won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Benfica 2, FC Porto 2.

Our call

We expect FC Porto to score about 0.9 goals and Benfica about 1.2. That points to Benfica to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.11.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win FC Porto vs Benfica?

Our prediction for FC Porto vs Benfica is Benfica to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for FC Porto vs Benfica?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect FC Porto to score 0.9 goals and Benfica 1.2.

Will both teams score in FC Porto vs Benfica?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of FC Porto last 20 games and 13 of Benfica last 20.

How are FC Porto playing?

FC Porto have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Benfica playing?

Benfica have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when FC Porto and Benfica last met?

It ended Benfica 2, FC Porto 2. In the last 2 meetings FC Porto won 0 and Benfica won 0.

What is the best bet for FC Porto vs Benfica?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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