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Derby County vs Stoke City prediction

Derby CountyHome40%to win
1.22 : 1.02expected goalsDraw 30%
Stoke CityAway30%to win
Shujaa safe tipUnder 3.5 goals1.28

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip78%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.282 units
Bold tip14%
Correct score 1-1Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 7.131 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Derby County vs Stoke City is Derby County to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Derby recent form-3%Stoke recent form+6%Derby league table-2%Stoke league table+3%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Derby CountyDLLLW
  • Dat Burnley1-1
  • Lv Birmingham City1-2
  • Lv West Bromwich Albion0-1
  • Lat West Ham United0-3
  • Wat Portsmouth2-0
Stoke CityWWDWW
  • Wv Sheffield United2-1
  • Wat Watford2-1
  • Dat Cardiff City1-1
  • Wv Charlton Athletic4-0
  • Wv Norwich City1-0

In numbers, Derby red and Stoke green

1.1Points per game1.3
1.1Goals scored per game1.4
1.4Goals conceded per game1.6
25%Clean sheets20%

Last meetings

  • Derby County2-0Stoke City

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
DerbyStoke
20Games played20
7Wins7
2Draws4
11Losses9
23Goals scored28
29Goals conceded33
1.1Scored per game1.4
1.4Conceded per game1.6
4W 1D 5LHome record6W 3D 3L
3W 1D 6LAway record1W 1D 6L
25%Clean sheets20%
55%Both teams scored65%
60%Over 2.5 goals55%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Championship
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
22. Derby County8125-750.63
7. Stoke City8413+1131.63

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Championship table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Derby County
  • Bobby Clark
    Bobby ClarkTop scorer · M
    2 goals
  • Bobby Clark
    Bobby ClarkMost assists · M
    2 assists
  • Jacob Widell Zetterström
    Jacob Widell ZetterströmKeeper · G
    28 saves
Stoke City
  • Ethan Galbraith
    Ethan GalbraithTop scorer · M
    3 goals
  • Eric Bocat
    Eric BocatMost assists · D
    2 assists
  • Viktor Johansson
    Viktor JohanssonKeeper · G
    24 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals66%1.51
Over 2.5 goals39%2.58
Over 3.5 goals19%5.30
Both teams to score46%2.18
Derby or draw70%1.42
Stoke or draw60%1.67
Derby win and over 2.520%5.03
Stoke win and over 2.514%7.03

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
1-012.2%
0-011.4%
0-110.0%
2-18.1%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Derby v Stoke

Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

BetWinner100% welcome bonus for new accountsBet now

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Derby County vs Stoke City: Derby County shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Derby County 40%, the draw 30% and Stoke City 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Derby County took 4 points from their last 5 games and Stoke City took 13 from 5. Stoke City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Derby County won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Stoke City won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Derby County score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Stoke City score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Derby County games and 11 of Stoke City games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Derby County won 1 and Stoke City won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Derby County 2, Stoke City 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Derby County form

Derby County have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Stoke City form

Stoke City have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Derby County won 1, Stoke City won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Derby County 2, Stoke City 0.

Our call

We expect Derby County to score about 1.2 goals and Stoke City about 1.0. That points to Derby County to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.13.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Derby County vs Stoke City?

Our prediction for Derby County vs Stoke City is Derby County to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Derby County vs Stoke City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Derby County to score 1.2 goals and Stoke City 1.0.

Will both teams score in Derby County vs Stoke City?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Derby County last 20 games and 13 of Stoke City last 20.

How are Derby County playing?

Derby County have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Stoke City playing?

Stoke City have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Derby County and Stoke City last met?

It ended Derby County 2, Stoke City 0. In the last 1 meeting Derby County won 1 and Stoke City won 0.

What is the best bet for Derby County vs Stoke City?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Derby against Stoke. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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