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BrasileiraoTue 13 Oct, 01:30 EATArena Condá

Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR prediction

ChapecoenseHome22%to win
1.35 : 2.26expected goalsDraw 21%
Athletico-PRAway58%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.18

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip85%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.182 units
Bold tip45%
Athletico-PR to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.231 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR is Athletico-PR to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Athletico-PR recent form+1%Chapecoense league table-3%Athletico-PR league table+3%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Chapecoense sits at the bottom in position 20 with 18 points from 28 matches, and a goal difference of minus 28. Athletico-PR is much higher in fourth place with 50 points from 29 games, and a goal difference of 11. Our model gives Athletico-PR a 58 out of 100 chance to win, while Chapecoense has a 22 out of 100 chance. The numbers moved because Athletico-PR recent form went up while Chapecoense dropped on the table.

  2. 2

    Recent matches show Chapecoense had a one all draw with Atletico-MG, lost two to one against Internacional, beat Corinthians two to one, lost three to one to Gremio, and beat Sao Paulo one to zero. Athletico-PR beat Bahia two to one, drew three all with Coritiba, lost three to one to Cruzeiro, drew three all with Fluminense, and beat Botafogo three to two. Their last meeting ended with Athletico-PR winning two to zero.

  3. 3

    Our strongest tip for this match is over 1.5 goals, which our model rates at 85 out of 100. Expected goals are 1.4 for Chapecoense and 2.3 for Athletico-PR.

Verdict. Athletico-PR are strong favorites based on form and table position, but remember that betting has risks and nothing is guaranteed.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
ChapecoenseDLWLW
  • Dat Atlético-MG1-1
  • Lv Internacional1-2
  • Wat Corinthians2-1
  • Lat Grêmio1-3
  • Wv São Paulo1-0
Athletico-PRWDLDW
  • Wv Bahia2-1
  • Dat Coritiba3-3
  • Lat Cruzeiro1-3
  • Dv Fluminense3-3
  • Wat Botafogo3-2

In numbers, Chapecoense red and Athletico-PR green

0.6Points per game1.6
1.0Goals scored per game1.4
2.1Goals conceded per game1.2
5%Clean sheets30%

Last meetings

  • Athletico-PR2-0Chapecoense

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
ChapecoenseAthletico-PR
20Games played20
2Wins9
5Draws6
13Losses5
20Goals scored29
42Goals conceded24
1.0Scored per game1.4
2.1Conceded per game1.2
1W 2D 6LHome record5W 4D 0L
1W 3D 7LAway record4W 2D 5L
5%Clean sheets30%
70%Both teams scored55%
65%Over 2.5 goals50%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Brasileirao
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
20. Chapecoense303918-32180.60
3. Athletico-PR311588+12531.71

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Brasileirao table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Chapecoense
  • Anderson Paixão
    Anderson PaixãoKeeper · G
    4 saves
Athletico-PR
  • Mycael
    MycaelKeeper · G
    6 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals88%1.14
Over 2.5 goals70%1.43
Over 3.5 goals49%2.05
Both teams to score67%1.50
Chapecoense or draw42%2.35
Athletico-PR or draw78%1.28
Chapecoense win and over 2.516%6.22
Athletico-PR win and over 2.545%2.22

Most likely scores

1-29.3%
1-18.7%
1-37.0%
0-26.9%
2-26.3%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Chapecoense v Athletico-PR

Our top pick is Over 1.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

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Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR: Athletico-PR are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Chapecoense 22%, the draw 21% and Athletico-PR 58%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Chapecoense took 7 points from their last 5 games and Athletico-PR took 8 from 5. Athletico-PR come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Chapecoense won 1 of their last 9 games at home. Athletico-PR won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Chapecoense score 1.0 goals a game and let in 2.1. Athletico-PR score 1.4 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Chapecoense games and 10 of Athletico-PR games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Chapecoense won 0 and Athletico-PR won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Athletico-PR 2, Chapecoense 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Chapecoense form

Chapecoense have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 42 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Athletico-PR form

Athletico-PR have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Chapecoense won 0, Athletico-PR won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Athletico-PR 2, Chapecoense 0.

Our call

We expect Chapecoense to score about 1.4 goals and Athletico-PR about 2.3. That points to Athletico-PR to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Athletico-PR to win and Over 2.5 at 2.23.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR?

Our prediction for Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR is Athletico-PR to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-3. We expect Chapecoense to score 1.4 goals and Athletico-PR 2.3.

Will both teams score in Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Chapecoense last 20 games and 11 of Athletico-PR last 20.

How are Chapecoense playing?

Chapecoense have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 42 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Athletico-PR playing?

Athletico-PR have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Chapecoense and Athletico-PR last met?

It ended Athletico-PR 2, Chapecoense 0. In the last 1 meeting Chapecoense won 0 and Athletico-PR won 1.

What is the best bet for Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Chapecoense against Athletico-PR. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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