Europa LeagueThu 15 Oct, 22:00 EATEstádio da Luz

Benfica vs Celtic prediction

BenficaHome68%to win
2.46 : 1.02expected goalsDraw 18%
CelticAway13%to win
Shujaa safe tipUnder 3.5 goals1.63

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip61%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to win
Price 1.631 unit
Bold tip37%
Benfica to win and both scoreBigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.721 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Benfica vs Celtic is Benfica to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.63.

Benfica recent form+4%Celtic recent form-1%Benfica league table+5%Celtic league table-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
BenficaLWWWW
  • Lat FC Porto1-3
  • Wat AC Milan2-0
  • Wv Gil Vicente3-1
  • Wat Moreirense4-0
  • Wat Maritimo3-0
CelticLLWWW
  • Lv Rangers0-1
  • Lv Ferencvaros1-3
  • Wat St Johnstone1-0
  • Wat St Mirren2-1
  • Wv Aberdeen3-0

In numbers, Benfica red and Celtic green

2.2Points per game2.5
2.5Goals scored per game2.0
1.1Goals conceded per game1.0
30%Clean sheets25%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
BenficaCeltic
20Games played20
13Wins16
5Draws1
2Losses3
50Goals scored40
21Goals conceded20
2.5Scored per game2.0
1.1Conceded per game1.0
5W 3D 0LHome record8W 0D 2L
8W 2D 2LAway record8W 1D 1L
30%Clean sheets25%
70%Both teams scored65%
85%Over 2.5 goals70%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Europa League
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
7. Benfica1100+233.00
28. Celtic1001-200.00

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Europa League table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Benfica
  • Dodi Lukébakio
    Dodi LukébakioTop scorer · F
    1 goals
  • Souffian El Karouani
    Souffian El KarouaniMost assists · D
    1 assists
  • Anatoliy Trubin
    Anatoliy TrubinKeeper · G
    4 saves
Celtic
  • Mika Baur
    Mika BaurTop scorer · M
    1 goals
  • Kieran Tierney
    Kieran TierneyMost assists · D
    1 assists
  • Viljami Sinisalo
    Viljami SinisaloKeeper · G
    3 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.48
Over 3.5 goals46%2.18
Both teams to score59%1.70
Benfica or draw87%1.15
Celtic or draw32%3.17
Benfica win and over 2.552%1.92
Celtic win and over 2.59%11.02

Most likely scores

2-19.5%
2-09.3%
1-18.2%
3-17.8%
3-07.6%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Benfica to win72%1.25-9.6%
A Draw21%6.00+25.3%
Celtic to win15%9.50+44.2%
Over 3.5 goals43%2.20-5.8%
Under 3.5 goals61%1.63-1.4%
Benfica -1.554%1.67-9.4%
Celtic +1.549%1.95-3.8%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Benfica v Celtic

Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Benfica vs Celtic: Benfica are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Benfica 68%, the draw 18% and Celtic 13%. The bookmakers agree and make Benfica the favourite at 1.25.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Benfica took 12 points from their last 5 games and Celtic took 9 from 5. Benfica come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Benfica won 5 of their last 8 games at home. Celtic won 8 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Benfica score 2.5 goals a game and let in 1.1. Celtic score 2.0 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 17 of Benfica games and 14 of Celtic games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 61% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Benfica form

Benfica have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Celtic form

Celtic have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Benfica to score about 2.5 goals and Celtic about 1.0. That points to Benfica to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.63. Our bold bet is Benfica to win and both score at 2.72.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Benfica vs Celtic?

Our prediction for Benfica vs Celtic is Benfica to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.63.

What is the score prediction for Benfica vs Celtic?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Benfica to score 2.5 goals and Celtic 1.0.

Will both teams score in Benfica vs Celtic?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Benfica last 20 games and 13 of Celtic last 20.

How are Benfica playing?

Benfica have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Celtic playing?

Celtic have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Benfica vs Celtic?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.63, with a 61% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Benfica against Celtic. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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