Our tips
Locked two hours before kick offSafe tip61%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to winPrice 1.74+6.2% value2 units
Value tip61%
Under 3.5 goalsPrice pays more than it shouldPrice 1.74+6.2% value2 units
Bold tip37%
AS Roma to winBigger price, loses more oftenPrice 3.20+16.9% value2 units
Shujaa verdict
From results, prices, form and restOur prediction for AS Roma vs Real Madrid is Real Madrid to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.74.
AS Roma recent form+4%Real Madrid recent form+1%AS Roma league table-5%Real Madrid league table+5%
Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works
Team records
Last 20 games, all competitions
AS RomaReal Madrid
20Games played20
11Wins12
5Draws2
4Losses6
44Goals scored41
24Goals conceded26
2.2Scored per game2.0
1.2Conceded per game1.3
6W 3D 1LHome record8W 1D 1L
5W 2D 3LAway record4W 1D 5L
45%Clean sheets20%
55%Both teams scored70%
60%Over 2.5 goals65%
Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.
Key players
Top of each side this seasonGood to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.
Goals and markets
Chance and fair priceBoth teams to score61%1.63
Real Madrid or draw65%1.55
AS Roma win and over 2.524%4.23
Real Madrid win and over 2.526%3.82
Most likely scores
1-111.8%
1-28.6%
2-18.2%
0-16.9%
1-06.5%
Price check
Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.
Where to bet on AS Roma v Real Madrid
Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.
Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.
Match preview
AS Roma vs Real Madrid: Real Madrid shade it- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives AS Roma 35%, the draw 26% and Real Madrid 39%. The bookmakers agree and make Real Madrid the favourite at 2.05.
- 2
Recent formAS Roma took 11 points from their last 5 games and Real Madrid took 9 from 5. AS Roma come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayAS Roma won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Real Madrid won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
- 4
GoalsAS Roma score 2.2 goals a game and let in 1.2. Real Madrid score 2.0 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of AS Roma games and 13 of Real Madrid games in that run.
- 5
Where the value isUnder 3.5 goals is priced at 1.74. Our fair price is 1.64, so the bookmaker pays about 6.2% more than it should.
AS Roma form
AS Roma have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, W, newest first.
Real Madrid form
Real Madrid have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.
Our call
We expect AS Roma to score about 1.5 goals and Real Madrid about 1.6. That points to Real Madrid to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.74. Our value bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.74. Our bold bet is AS Roma to win at 3.20.
Questions people in Kenya ask
Who will win AS Roma vs Real Madrid?
Our prediction for AS Roma vs Real Madrid is Real Madrid to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.74.
What is the score prediction for AS Roma vs Real Madrid?
1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect AS Roma to score 1.5 goals and Real Madrid 1.6.
Will both teams score in AS Roma vs Real Madrid?
Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of AS Roma last 20 games and 14 of Real Madrid last 20.
How are AS Roma playing?
AS Roma have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, W, newest first.
How are Real Madrid playing?
Real Madrid have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.
What is the best bet for AS Roma vs Real Madrid?
Under 3.5 goals at 1.74, with a 61% chance. That price pays about 6.2% more than our fair price.
Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.
18+Read this before you bet
- There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about AS Roma against Real Madrid. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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