Serie ASun 20 Sept, 21:45 EATSan Siro

AC Milan vs Lecce prediction

AC MilanHome63%to win
1.84 : 0.72expected goalsDraw 23%
LecceAway13%to win
Shujaa safe tipAC Milan draw no bet1.21

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip83%
AC Milan draw no betMost likely to win
Fair 1.212 units
Bold tip37%
AC Milan to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.721 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for AC Milan vs Lecce is AC Milan to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is AC Milan draw no bet at 1.21.

Milan recent form+1%Lecce recent form-1%Milan rest between games-5%Lecce rest between games-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
AC MilanDDWWL
  • Dat Lazio2-2
  • Dat Juventus1-1
  • Wv Venezia2-0
  • Wat Torino2-1
  • Lv Cagliari1-2
LecceWLLWW
  • Wv Monza3-2
  • Lat Cagliari0-1
  • Lv AS Roma0-4
  • Wat Venezia2-0
  • Wv Genoa1-0

In numbers, Milan red and Lecce green

1.6Points per game1.3
1.3Goals scored per game1.0
1.1Goals conceded per game1.4
30%Clean sheets20%

Last meetings

  • AC Milan1-0Lecce

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
MilanLecce
20Games played20
9Wins8
4Draws2
7Losses10
25Goals scored20
22Goals conceded28
1.3Scored per game1.0
1.1Conceded per game1.4
3W 2D 4LHome record4W 1D 4L
6W 2D 3LAway record4W 1D 6L
30%Clean sheets20%
45%Both teams scored40%
45%Over 2.5 goals45%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.12
Over 3.5 goals26%3.91
Both teams to score44%2.28
Milan or draw87%1.16
Lecce or draw37%2.73
Milan win and over 2.537%2.72
Lecce win and over 2.56%15.43

Most likely scores

1-013.6%
2-013.1%
1-110.9%
2-19.4%
0-08.3%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
AC Milan to win63%1.29-18.5%
A Draw23%5.00+15.8%
Lecce to win13%9.00+21.1%
Over 2.5 goals52%1.71-10.4%
Under 2.5 goals48%2.05-2.2%
AC Milan -1.546%1.83-14.9%
Lecce +1.554%1.83-1.8%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

AC Milan vs Lecce: AC Milan are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AC Milan 63%, the draw 23% and Lecce 13%. The bookmakers agree and make AC Milan the favourite at 1.29.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AC Milan took 8 points from their last 5 games and Lecce took 9 from 5. Lecce come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AC Milan won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Lecce won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AC Milan score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Lecce score 1.0 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of AC Milan games and 9 of Lecce games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, AC Milan won 1 and Lecce won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended AC Milan 1, Lecce 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    AC Milan draw no bet has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

AC Milan form

AC Milan have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Lecce form

Lecce have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. AC Milan won 1, Lecce won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished AC Milan 1, Lecce 0.

Our call

We expect AC Milan to score about 1.8 goals and Lecce about 0.7. That points to AC Milan to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is AC Milan draw no bet at 1.21. Our bold bet is AC Milan to win and Over 2.5 at 2.72.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win AC Milan vs Lecce?

Our prediction for AC Milan vs Lecce is AC Milan to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is AC Milan draw no bet at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for AC Milan vs Lecce?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect AC Milan to score 1.8 goals and Lecce 0.7.

Will both teams score in AC Milan vs Lecce?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of AC Milan last 20 games and 8 of Lecce last 20.

How are AC Milan playing?

AC Milan have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Lecce playing?

Lecce have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when AC Milan and Lecce last met?

It ended AC Milan 1, Lecce 0. In the last 1 meeting AC Milan won 1 and Lecce won 0.

What is the best bet for AC Milan vs Lecce?

AC Milan draw no bet at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Milan against Lecce. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
  • Betting is not income. Never bet to pay rent, school fees or a loan, and never borrow to bet, including from mobile loan apps.
  • 18 and over only. Betting under 18 is illegal in Kenya.
  • Use licensed bookmakers. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya. Prices here can change before you bet, so check them first.
  • Gambling can be addictive. If it stops being fun, stop. Read our responsible betting page or visit Responsible Gaming Federation of Kenya.

Good to know: We are not a bookmaker and we do not take bets. Full details are in our disclaimer.