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Serie ASat 10 Oct, 16:00 EATStadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa vs Fiorentina prediction

GenoaHome31%to win
1.25 : 1.50expected goalsDraw 27%
FiorentinaAway42%to win
Shujaa safe tipGenoa +0.51.59

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip62%
Genoa +0.5Most likely to win
Price 1.591 unit
Bold tip34%
Genoa to winBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.05+3.4% value1 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Genoa vs Fiorentina is Fiorentina to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Genoa +0.5 at 1.59.

Genoa recent form-3%Genoa league table-1%Fiorentina league table+2%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Genoa sits in nineteenth place with one point from five matches. Fiorentina is seventeenth with four points from the same number of games.

  2. 2

    Recent form for Genoa shows a downward trend while Fiorentina has seen upward movement in the league table.

  3. 3

    Our model gives Genoa a thirty one percent chance to win, a twenty seven percent chance for a draw, and forty two percent for Fiorentina.

  4. 4

    The strongest tip from our data is Genoa plus zero point five at a sixty two percent probability, though betting always carries risk.

Verdict. Fiorentina has the edge in the numbers, but Genoa plus zero point five offers a cautious option for this Serie A match.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
GenoaLDLLL
  • Lat Parma1-2
  • Dv Frosinone1-1
  • Lv Como1-4
  • Lat Lazio0-1
  • Lv Napoli0-2
FiorentinaDWLLL
  • Dv Napoli1-1
  • Wat Venezia4-2
  • Lv Torino1-2
  • Lv Frosinone0-3
  • Lat AS Roma0-4

In numbers, Genoa red and Fiorentina green

0.9Points per game1.6
0.8Goals scored per game1.1
1.4Goals conceded per game1.3
25%Clean sheets30%

Last meetings

  • Fiorentina0-0Genoa
  • Genoa2-2Fiorentina

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
GenoaFiorentina
20Games played20
5Wins8
4Draws7
11Losses5
17Goals scored23
27Goals conceded26
0.8Scored per game1.1
1.4Conceded per game1.3
3W 1D 6LHome record3W 6D 2L
2W 3D 5LAway record5W 1D 3L
25%Clean sheets30%
40%Both teams scored50%
40%Over 2.5 goals50%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Serie A
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
18. Genoa7115-840.57
19. Fiorentina7115-940.57

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Serie A table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Genoa
  • Justin Bijlow
    Justin BijlowKeeper · G
    3 saves
Fiorentina
  • David de Gea
    David de GeaKeeper · G
    2 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.93
Over 3.5 goals30%3.38
Both teams to score56%1.78
Genoa or draw58%1.73
Fiorentina or draw69%1.45
Genoa win and over 2.519%5.37
Fiorentina win and over 2.526%3.82

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
1-29.0%
0-18.9%
2-17.5%
1-07.3%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Genoa to win34%3.05+3.4%
A Draw30%3.20-5.0%
Fiorentina to win41%2.20-9.5%
Over 2.5 goals50%2.00-0.9%
Under 2.5 goals54%1.77-4.3%
Genoa +0.562%1.59-1.9%
Fiorentina -0.541%2.15-11.2%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Genoa v Fiorentina

Our top pick is Genoa +0.5. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

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Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Genoa vs Fiorentina: Fiorentina shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Genoa 31%, the draw 27% and Fiorentina 42%. The bookmakers agree and make Fiorentina the favourite at 2.20.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Genoa took 1 point from their last 5 games and Fiorentina took 4 from 5. Fiorentina come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Genoa won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Fiorentina won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Genoa score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Fiorentina score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Genoa games and 10 of Fiorentina games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Genoa won 0 and Fiorentina won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Fiorentina 0, Genoa 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Genoa +0.5 has a 62% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Genoa form

Genoa have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Fiorentina form

Fiorentina have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Genoa won 0, Fiorentina won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Fiorentina 0, Genoa 0.

Our call

We expect Genoa to score about 1.3 goals and Fiorentina about 1.5. That points to Fiorentina to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Genoa +0.5 at 1.59. Our bold bet is Genoa to win at 3.05.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Genoa vs Fiorentina?

Our prediction for Genoa vs Fiorentina is Fiorentina to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Genoa +0.5 at 1.59.

What is the score prediction for Genoa vs Fiorentina?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Genoa to score 1.3 goals and Fiorentina 1.5.

Will both teams score in Genoa vs Fiorentina?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Genoa last 20 games and 10 of Fiorentina last 20.

How are Genoa playing?

Genoa have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Fiorentina playing?

Fiorentina have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Genoa and Fiorentina last met?

It ended Fiorentina 0, Genoa 0. In the last 2 meetings Genoa won 0 and Fiorentina won 0.

What is the best bet for Genoa vs Fiorentina?

Genoa +0.5 at 1.59, with a 62% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Genoa against Fiorentina. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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