Today
TodayTomorrowJackpotValue betsNewsResultsOver 2.5 goalsBoth teams to scoreDouble chanceCorrect scoreWeekend tipsNFL, NBA and MLBAll leaguesResponsible betting
Europa LeagueWed 16 Sept, 22:00 EATSan Siro

AC Milan vs Benfica prediction

AC MilanHome34%to win
1.32 : 1.43expected goalsDraw 27%
BenficaAway39%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.30

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip77%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.302 units
Bold tip13%
Correct score 1-1Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 7.821 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for AC Milan vs Benfica is Benfica to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Milan recent form+1%Benfica recent form+7%Milan rest between games-5%Benfica rest between games-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
AC MilanDDWWL
  • Dat Lazio2-2
  • Dat Juventus1-1
  • Wv Venezia2-0
  • Wat Torino2-1
  • Lv Cagliari1-2
BenficaWWWWW
  • Wv Gil Vicente3-1
  • Wat Moreirense4-0
  • Wat Maritimo3-0
  • Wv Estoril2-1
  • Wat Casa Pia7-0

In numbers, Milan red and Benfica green

1.6Points per game2.2
1.3Goals scored per game2.5
1.1Goals conceded per game0.9
30%Clean sheets30%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
MilanBenfica
20Games played20
9Wins13
4Draws5
7Losses2
25Goals scored50
22Goals conceded19
1.3Scored per game2.5
1.1Conceded per game0.9
3W 2D 4LHome record6W 3D 1L
6W 2D 3LAway record7W 2D 1L
30%Clean sheets30%
45%Both teams scored65%
45%Over 2.5 goals85%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.93
Over 3.5 goals30%3.37
Both teams to score56%1.77
Milan or draw61%1.64
Benfica or draw66%1.52
Milan win and over 2.521%4.81
Benfica win and over 2.524%4.16

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
1-28.6%
0-18.4%
2-18.0%
1-07.7%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
AC Milan to win34%2.10-28.4%
A Draw27%3.60-3.0%
Benfica to win39%3.40+32.4%
Over 2.5 goals55%1.71-6.6%
Under 2.5 goals45%2.15-2.2%
AC Milan -0.543%2.00-14.9%
Benfica +0.557%1.71-1.5%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

AC Milan vs Benfica: Benfica shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AC Milan 34%, the draw 27% and Benfica 39%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make AC Milan the favourite at 2.10, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AC Milan took 8 points from their last 5 games and Benfica took 15 from 5. Benfica come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AC Milan won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Benfica won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AC Milan score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Benfica score 2.5 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of AC Milan games and 17 of Benfica games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

AC Milan form

AC Milan have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Benfica form

Benfica have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect AC Milan to score about 1.3 goals and Benfica about 1.4. That points to Benfica to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.82.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win AC Milan vs Benfica?

Our prediction for AC Milan vs Benfica is Benfica to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for AC Milan vs Benfica?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect AC Milan to score 1.3 goals and Benfica 1.4.

Will both teams score in AC Milan vs Benfica?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of AC Milan last 20 games and 13 of Benfica last 20.

How are AC Milan playing?

AC Milan have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Benfica playing?

Benfica have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for AC Milan vs Benfica?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Milan against Benfica. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
  • Betting is not income. Never bet to pay rent, school fees or a loan, and never borrow to bet, including from mobile loan apps.
  • 18 and over only. Betting under 18 is illegal in Kenya.
  • Use licensed bookmakers. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya. Prices here can change before you bet, so check them first.
  • Gambling can be addictive. If it stops being fun, stop. Read our responsible betting page or visit Responsible Gaming Federation of Kenya.

Good to know: We are not a bookmaker and we do not take bets. Full details are in our disclaimer.