BrasileiraoFri 9 Oct, 01:30 EATEstádio Vila Belmiro (Urbano Caldeira)

Santos vs Flamengo prediction

SantosHome23%to win
1.08 : 1.76expected goalsDraw 25%
FlamengoAway53%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.31

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip77%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.312 units
Bold tip25%
Santos to winBigger price, loses more often
Price 4.00+1.2% value1 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Santos vs Flamengo is Flamengo to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Santos recent form+4%Flamengo recent form+6%Santos league table-2%Flamengo league table+2%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Santos sits eighth on the table with forty one points from twenty eight matches, while Flamengo leads the standings in first place with sixty points.

  2. 2

    Santos comes into this game with strong recent form after winning four of their last five matches. Flamengo is also in great shape and won all of their last five matches.

  3. 3

    Our model gives Flamengo a fifty three in one hundred chance to win, with Santos at twenty two in one hundred and a draw at twenty five in one hundred. The expected goals are one point one for Santos and one point eight for Flamengo.

  4. 4

    The strongest tip for this match is over one point five goals at seventy seven in one hundred. Remember that betting has risks and nothing is guaranteed.

Verdict. Our lean is that Flamengo holds the edge, but football has risks so bet wisely.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
SantosWWWWD
  • Wat Remo2-1
  • Wv Cruzeiro2-1
  • Wat Internacional3-2
  • Wat Corinthians1-0
  • Dv Mirassol1-1
FlamengoWWWWW
  • Wv Red Bull Bragantino2-1
  • Wv Corinthians2-1
  • Wat Remo1-0
  • Wv Mirassol2-0
  • Wv Botafogo3-0

In numbers, Santos red and Flamengo green

1.6Points per game2.3
1.6Goals scored per game2.1
1.4Goals conceded per game0.8
30%Clean sheets45%

Last meetings

  • Flamengo3-1Santos
  • Flamengo3-2Santos

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
SantosFlamengo
20Games played20
9Wins14
5Draws4
6Losses2
31Goals scored42
27Goals conceded15
1.6Scored per game2.1
1.4Conceded per game0.8
5W 2D 3LHome record8W 2D 1L
4W 3D 3LAway record6W 2D 1L
30%Clean sheets45%
60%Both teams scored50%
60%Over 2.5 goals60%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Brasileirao
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
8. Santos3112910+2451.45
1. Flamengo312074+36672.16

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Brasileirao table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Santos
  • Diogenes
    DiogenesKeeper · G
    3 saves
Flamengo
  • Agustín Rossi
    Agustín RossiKeeper · G
    2 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.86
Over 3.5 goals32%3.17
Both teams to score55%1.81
Santos or draw47%2.11
Flamengo or draw78%1.29
Santos win and over 2.513%7.45
Flamengo win and over 2.534%2.95

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
1-29.8%
0-19.7%
0-29.1%
0-06.6%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Santos to win25%4.00+1.2%
A Draw28%3.60-0.3%
Flamengo to win55%1.80-0.1%
Over 2.5 goals57%1.71-3.1%
Under 2.5 goals47%1.95-8.1%
Santos +0.548%1.91-7.4%
Flamengo -0.555%1.74-4.0%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Santos v Flamengo

Our top pick is Over 1.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Santos vs Flamengo: Flamengo are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Santos 23%, the draw 25% and Flamengo 53%. The bookmakers agree and make Flamengo the favourite at 1.80.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Santos took 13 points from their last 5 games and Flamengo took 15 from 5. Flamengo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Santos won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Flamengo won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Santos score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Flamengo score 2.1 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Santos games and 12 of Flamengo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Santos won 0 and Flamengo won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Flamengo 3, Santos 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Santos form

Santos have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Flamengo form

Flamengo have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Santos won 0, Flamengo won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Flamengo 3, Santos 1.

Our call

We expect Santos to score about 1.1 goals and Flamengo about 1.8. That points to Flamengo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Santos to win at 4.00.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Santos vs Flamengo?

Our prediction for Santos vs Flamengo is Flamengo to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Santos vs Flamengo?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Santos to score 1.1 goals and Flamengo 1.8.

Will both teams score in Santos vs Flamengo?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Santos last 20 games and 10 of Flamengo last 20.

How are Santos playing?

Santos have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Flamengo playing?

Flamengo have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Santos and Flamengo last met?

It ended Flamengo 3, Santos 1. In the last 2 meetings Santos won 0 and Flamengo won 2.

What is the best bet for Santos vs Flamengo?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 77% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Santos against Flamengo. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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