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BrasileiraoSun 11 Oct, 23:30 EATAllianz Parque

Palmeiras vs Corinthians prediction

PalmeirasHome63%to win
1.73 : 0.66expected goalsDraw 24%
CorinthiansAway13%to win
Shujaa safe tipPalmeiras or Draw1.19

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip84%
Palmeiras or DrawMost likely to win
Fair 1.192 units
Bold tip36%
Palmeiras to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.811 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Palmeiras vs Corinthians is Palmeiras to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Palmeiras or Draw at 1.19.

Palmeiras recent form+1%Corinthians recent form-6%Palmeiras league table+2%Corinthians league table-2%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Palmeiras sits second in the table with 60 points from 29 matches, while Corinthians struggles down in sixteenth place with 32 points.

  2. 2

    Palmeiras recently drew with Gremio and Botafogo, but also beat Sao Paulo and Vasco da Gama. Corinthians has suffered recent losses against Fluminense, Flamengo, Chapecoense, Santos, and Coritiba.

  3. 3

    Our model gives Palmeiras a 63 in 100 chance to win, with expected goals at 1.7 to 0.7. The last meeting between these two teams ended in a goalless draw.

  4. 4

    Betting has risk and nothing is guaranteed. Our strongest tip is Palmeiras or Draw at 84 in 100, driven by rising form for Palmeiras and falling form for Corinthians.

Verdict. Our lean is that Palmeiras holds the stronger form and table position, but football matches carry risks so play wisely.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
PalmeirasDWDDW
  • Dat Grêmio0-0
  • Wv São Paulo2-0
  • Dat Botafogo0-0
  • Dat Mirassol1-1
  • Wv Vasco da Gama4-1
CorinthiansLLLLL
  • Lv Fluminense1-3
  • Lat Flamengo1-2
  • Lv Chapecoense1-2
  • Lv Santos0-1
  • Lat Coritiba1-2

In numbers, Palmeiras red and Corinthians green

1.9Points per game1.1
1.5Goals scored per game1.1
0.7Goals conceded per game1.3
50%Clean sheets35%

Last meetings

  • Corinthians0-0Palmeiras

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
PalmeirasCorinthians
20Games played20
10Wins6
8Draws4
2Losses10
30Goals scored22
13Goals conceded25
1.5Scored per game1.1
0.7Conceded per game1.3
5W 3D 1LHome record4W 2D 5L
5W 5D 1LAway record2W 2D 5L
50%Clean sheets35%
50%Both teams scored55%
40%Over 2.5 goals55%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Brasileirao
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
2. Palmeiras311993+32662.13
16. Corinthians308814-7321.07

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Brasileirao table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Palmeiras
  • Carlos Miguel
    Carlos MiguelKeeper · G
    2 saves
Corinthians
  • Hugo Souza
    Hugo SouzaKeeper · G
    5 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.44
Over 2.5 goals43%2.33
Over 3.5 goals22%4.55
Both teams to score40%2.47
Palmeiras or draw87%1.15
Corinthians or draw37%2.67
Palmeiras win and over 2.534%2.97
Corinthians win and over 2.56%17.40

Most likely scores

1-015.2%
2-013.7%
1-111.1%
0-09.8%
2-19.1%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Palmeiras v Corinthians

Our top pick is Palmeiras or Draw. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

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Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Palmeiras vs Corinthians: Palmeiras are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Palmeiras 63%, the draw 24% and Corinthians 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Palmeiras took 9 points from their last 5 games and Corinthians took 0 from 5. Palmeiras come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Palmeiras won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Corinthians won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Palmeiras score 1.5 goals a game and let in 0.7. Corinthians score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Palmeiras games and 11 of Corinthians games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Palmeiras won 0 and Corinthians won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Corinthians 0, Palmeiras 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Palmeiras or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Palmeiras form

Palmeiras have 10 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, W, newest first.

Corinthians form

Corinthians have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Palmeiras won 0, Corinthians won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Corinthians 0, Palmeiras 0.

Our call

We expect Palmeiras to score about 1.7 goals and Corinthians about 0.7. That points to Palmeiras to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Palmeiras or Draw at 1.19. Our bold bet is Palmeiras to win and Over 2.5 at 2.81.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Palmeiras vs Corinthians?

Our prediction for Palmeiras vs Corinthians is Palmeiras to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Palmeiras or Draw at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Palmeiras vs Corinthians?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Palmeiras to score 1.7 goals and Corinthians 0.7.

Will both teams score in Palmeiras vs Corinthians?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Palmeiras last 20 games and 11 of Corinthians last 20.

How are Palmeiras playing?

Palmeiras have 10 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, W, newest first.

How are Corinthians playing?

Corinthians have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Palmeiras and Corinthians last met?

It ended Corinthians 0, Palmeiras 0. In the last 1 meeting Palmeiras won 0 and Corinthians won 0.

What is the best bet for Palmeiras vs Corinthians?

Palmeiras or Draw at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Palmeiras against Corinthians. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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