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MLBSat 19 Sept, 04:40 EATPetco Park

Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres prediction

Miami MarlinsAway43%to win
2 : 8final score
San Diego PadresHome57%to win
Shujaa safe tipPadres +1.51.41

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip71%
Padres +1.5Most likely to win
Fair 1.411 unitwon
Bold tip36%
Marlins to winBigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.751 unitlost

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres is San Diego Padres to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Miami Marlins 3.6 and San Diego Padres 4.5. Our best bet is Padres +1.5 at 1.41.

Nothing moved this number: form level, both sides rested

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
San Diego PadresWWLWW
  • Wat Colorado Rockies9-2
  • Wat Colorado Rockies9-3
  • Lat Colorado Rockies3-9
  • Wat Colorado Rockies8-7
  • Wat San Francisco Giants6-4
Miami MarlinsWWLWW
  • Wat Arizona Diamondbacks4-3
  • Wat Arizona Diamondbacks4-2
  • Lat Arizona Diamondbacks7-8
  • Wv Los Angeles Dodgers6-4
  • Wv Los Angeles Dodgers4-3

In numbers, Padres red and Marlins green

65%Win rate45%
5.1Runs scored per game5.2
4.3Runs conceded per game5.5
86% homeHome and away50% away

Last meetings

  • Miami Marlins3-5San Diego Padres
  • Miami Marlins2-7San Diego Padres
  • Miami Marlins2-4San Diego Padres

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
PadresMarlins
20Games played20
13Wins9
7Losses11
102Runs scored103
86Runs conceded110
5.1Scored per game5.2
4.3Conceded per game5.5
6W 1LHome record4W 6L
7W 6LAway record5W 5L

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Spread and total

Chance and fair price
Padres -2.535%2.86
Padres -1.544%2.27
Padres -0.554%1.87
Padres +0.563%1.59
Padres +1.571%1.40
Over 6.5 runs64%1.55
Over 7.5 runs56%1.80
Over 8.5 runs47%2.14
Over 9.5 runs38%2.65
Over 10.5 runs29%3.39

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres: San Diego Padres shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Diego Padres 57% and Miami Marlins 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Diego Padres won 4 of their last 5 and Miami Marlins won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Diego Padres won 6 of their last 7 games at home. Miami Marlins won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San Diego Padres score 5.1 runs a game and let in 4.3. Miami Marlins score 5.2 and let in 5.5. Their recent games average 9.4 and 10.7 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, San Diego Padres won 3 and Miami Marlins won 0. The last one ended Miami Marlins 3, San Diego Padres 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Padres +1.5 has a 71% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

San Diego Padres form

San Diego Padres have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 102 runs scored and 86 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Miami Marlins form

Miami Marlins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 103 runs scored and 110 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. San Diego Padres won 3, Miami Marlins won 0. Last time out it finished Miami Marlins 3, San Diego Padres 5.

Our call

We expect Miami Marlins to score about 3.6 runs and San Diego Padres about 4.5. That points to San Diego Padres to win. Our safest bet is Padres +1.5 at 1.41. Our bold bet is Marlins to win at 2.75.

News on these teams

All news
MLB

Padres and Brewers Confirm Rosters Ahead of Huge Postseason Clash

MLB

Padres Sweep Cubs Out of Postseason With Dominant Pitching

MLB

Padres Dominate Cubs 8-0 in Wild Card Opener

MLB

Cubs Pick Matthew Boyd for Game 1 Against Padres

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres?

Our prediction for Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres is San Diego Padres to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Miami Marlins 3.6 and San Diego Padres 4.5. Our best bet is Padres +1.5 at 1.41.

What is the projected score for Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres?

We project Miami Marlins 3.6 and San Diego Padres 4.5, about 8.1 runs in total.

How are San Diego Padres playing?

San Diego Padres have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 102 runs scored and 86 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Miami Marlins playing?

Miami Marlins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 103 runs scored and 110 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins last met?

It ended Miami Marlins 3, San Diego Padres 5. In the last 3 meetings San Diego Padres won 3 and Miami Marlins won 0.

What is the best bet for Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres?

Padres +1.5 at 1.41, with a 71% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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