Ligue 1Sun 20 Sept, 21:45 EATStade Vélodrome

Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction

MarseilleHome21%to win
1.29 : 2.20expected goalsDraw 21%
Paris Saint-GermainAway57%to win
Shujaa safe tipParis Saint-Germain or Draw1.27

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip79%
Paris Saint-Germain or DrawMost likely to win
Fair 1.272 units
Bold tip44%
Paris Saint-Germain to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.281 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain is Paris Saint-Germain to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Paris Saint-Germain or Draw at 1.27.

Marseille recent form-1%PSG recent form-1%Marseille rest between games-2%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
MarseilleLLLWW
  • Lat Stade Rennais0-1
  • Lv Paris FC2-3
  • Lat AS Monaco0-2
  • Wv Strasbourg4-0
  • Wv Stade Rennais3-1
Paris Saint-GermainWLDDD
  • Wv Slovan Bratislava6-1
  • Lv AS Monaco1-2
  • Dat Lille2-2
  • Dat Stade Rennais2-2
  • Dv Arsenal1-1

In numbers, Marseille red and PSG green

1.2Points per game2.0
1.3Goals scored per game2.5
1.7Goals conceded per game1.1
20%Clean sheets40%

Last meetings

  • Paris Saint-Germain5-0Marseille
  • Marseille1-0Paris Saint-Germain

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
MarseillePSG
20Games played20
7Wins12
3Draws5
10Losses3
25Goals scored50
34Goals conceded22
1.3Scored per game2.5
1.7Conceded per game1.1
5W 2D 2LHome record7W 2D 2L
2W 1D 8LAway record5W 3D 1L
20%Clean sheets40%
45%Both teams scored60%
60%Over 2.5 goals70%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.48
Over 3.5 goals46%2.17
Both teams to score65%1.54
Marseille or draw43%2.35
PSG or draw79%1.27
Marseille win and over 2.515%6.51
PSG win and over 2.544%2.28

Most likely scores

1-29.5%
1-19.2%
0-27.4%
1-37.0%
0-16.2%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Marseille to win21%6.00+28.1%
A Draw21%5.00+6.2%
Paris Saint-Germain to win57%1.43-18.1%
Over 3.5 goals48%1.87-9.4%
Under 3.5 goals52%1.83-5.6%
Marseille +1.558%1.65-5.2%
Paris Saint-Germain -1.542%2.00-15.2%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Marseille 21%, the draw 21% and Paris Saint-Germain 57%. The bookmakers agree and make Paris Saint-Germain the favourite at 1.43.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Marseille took 6 points from their last 5 games and Paris Saint-Germain took 6 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Marseille won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Paris Saint-Germain won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Marseille score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.7. Paris Saint-Germain score 2.5 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Marseille games and 14 of Paris Saint-Germain games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Marseille won 1 and Paris Saint-Germain won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Paris Saint-Germain 5, Marseille 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Paris Saint-Germain or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Marseille form

Marseille have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Paris Saint-Germain form

Paris Saint-Germain have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Marseille won 1, Paris Saint-Germain won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Paris Saint-Germain 5, Marseille 0.

Our call

We expect Marseille to score about 1.3 goals and Paris Saint-Germain about 2.2. That points to Paris Saint-Germain to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Paris Saint-Germain or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Paris Saint-Germain to win and Over 2.5 at 2.28.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Our prediction for Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain is Paris Saint-Germain to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Paris Saint-Germain or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Marseille to score 1.3 goals and Paris Saint-Germain 2.2.

Will both teams score in Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Marseille last 20 games and 12 of Paris Saint-Germain last 20.

How are Marseille playing?

Marseille have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Paris Saint-Germain playing?

Paris Saint-Germain have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain last met?

It ended Paris Saint-Germain 5, Marseille 0. In the last 2 meetings Marseille won 1 and Paris Saint-Germain won 1.

What is the best bet for Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Paris Saint-Germain or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Marseille against PSG. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
  • Betting is not income. Never bet to pay rent, school fees or a loan, and never borrow to bet, including from mobile loan apps.
  • 18 and over only. Betting under 18 is illegal in Kenya.
  • Use licensed bookmakers. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya. Prices here can change before you bet, so check them first.
  • Gambling can be addictive. If it stops being fun, stop. Read our responsible betting page or visit Responsible Gaming Federation of Kenya.

Good to know: We are not a bookmaker and we do not take bets. Full details are in our disclaimer.