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BrasileiraoSun 20 Sept, 17:00 EATArena do Grêmio

Grêmio vs Palmeiras prediction

GrêmioHome25%to win
1.10 : 1.63expected goalsDraw 26%
PalmeirasAway49%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.31

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip76%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.312 units
Bold tip30%
Palmeiras to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.301 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Grêmio vs Palmeiras is Palmeiras to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Palmeiras recent form+3%Grêmio rest between games-5%Palmeiras rest between games-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
GrêmioLLWLL
  • Lv Vasco da Gama1-2
  • Lat Vitória0-1
  • Wv Chapecoense3-1
  • Lat Red Bull Bragantino0-1
  • Lat Atlético-MG0-3
PalmeirasWDDWL
  • Wv São Paulo2-0
  • Dat Botafogo0-0
  • Dat Mirassol1-1
  • Wv Vasco da Gama4-1
  • Lat Fluminense2-3

In numbers, Grêmio red and Palmeiras green

1.0Points per game2.0
0.9Goals scored per game1.6
1.3Goals conceded per game0.7
25%Clean sheets50%

Last meetings

  • Palmeiras2-1Grêmio
  • Grêmio3-2Palmeiras

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
GrêmioPalmeiras
20Games played20
5Wins11
5Draws7
10Losses2
18Goals scored31
25Goals conceded13
0.9Scored per game1.6
1.3Conceded per game0.7
5W 2D 3LHome record5W 3D 1L
0W 3D 7LAway record6W 4D 1L
25%Clean sheets50%
50%Both teams scored50%
45%Over 2.5 goals40%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.95
Over 3.5 goals29%3.42
Both teams to score54%1.84
Grêmio or draw51%1.95
Palmeiras or draw75%1.34
Grêmio win and over 2.515%6.81
Palmeiras win and over 2.530%3.30

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
0-19.9%
1-29.5%
0-28.6%
0-07.2%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Grêmio vs Palmeiras: Palmeiras are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Grêmio 25%, the draw 26% and Palmeiras 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Grêmio took 3 points from their last 5 games and Palmeiras took 8 from 5. Palmeiras come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Grêmio won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Palmeiras won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Grêmio score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. Palmeiras score 1.6 and let in 0.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Grêmio games and 8 of Palmeiras games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Grêmio won 1 and Palmeiras won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Palmeiras 2, Grêmio 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Grêmio form

Grêmio have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Palmeiras form

Palmeiras have 11 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Grêmio won 1, Palmeiras won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Palmeiras 2, Grêmio 1.

Our call

We expect Grêmio to score about 1.1 goals and Palmeiras about 1.6. That points to Palmeiras to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Palmeiras to win and Over 2.5 at 3.30.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Grêmio vs Palmeiras?

Our prediction for Grêmio vs Palmeiras is Palmeiras to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Grêmio vs Palmeiras?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Grêmio to score 1.1 goals and Palmeiras 1.6.

Will both teams score in Grêmio vs Palmeiras?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Grêmio last 20 games and 10 of Palmeiras last 20.

How are Grêmio playing?

Grêmio have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Palmeiras playing?

Palmeiras have 11 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Grêmio and Palmeiras last met?

It ended Palmeiras 2, Grêmio 1. In the last 2 meetings Grêmio won 1 and Palmeiras won 1.

What is the best bet for Grêmio vs Palmeiras?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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