Serie ASun 20 Sept, 13:30 EATStadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina vs Napoli prediction

FiorentinaHome28%to win

Sun 20 Sept, 13:301.07 : 1.40expected goalsDraw 28%

NapoliAway44%to win

Shujaa safe tipUnder 3.5 goals1.31

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off

Safe tip76%

Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to win

Fair 1.312 units

Bold tip13%

Correct score 1-1Bigger price, loses more often

Fair 7.451 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Fiorentina vs Napoli is Napoli to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Fiorentina recent form-1%Napoli recent form-1%Fiorentina rest between games-2%Napoli rest between games-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first

FiorentinaWLLLD

Wat Venezia4-2
Lv Torino1-2
Lv Frosinone0-3
Lat AS Roma0-4
Dv Atalanta1-1

NapoliWLLLW

Wv Bologna1-0
Lv Arsenal0-1
Lat Internazionale2-3
Lv Como1-2
Wat Genoa2-0

In numbers, Fiorentina red and Napoli green

1.5Points per game1.8

1.1Goals scored per game1.6

1.4Goals conceded per game1.1

30%Clean sheets40%

Last meetings

Napoli2-1Fiorentina
Fiorentina1-3Napoli

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions

FiorentinaNapoli

20Games played20

8Wins11

6Draws3

6Losses6

22Goals scored31

28Goals conceded21

1.1Scored per game1.6

1.4Conceded per game1.1

3W 5D 2LHome record6W 1D 4L

5W 1D 4LAway record5W 2D 2L

30%Clean sheets40%

45%Both teams scored50%

55%Over 2.5 goals55%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price

Over 1.5 goals71%1.40

Over 2.5 goals45%2.23

Over 3.5 goals24%4.24

Both teams to score50%1.99

Fiorentina or draw56%1.78

Napoli or draw72%1.39

Fiorentina win and over 2.515%6.75

Napoli win and over 2.524%4.10

Most likely scores

1-113.4%

0-111.1%

0-09.2%

1-28.9%

0-28.3%

Price check

Bet	Chance	Price	Value
Fiorentina to win	28%	3.15	-12.0%
A Draw	28%	3.25	-8.1%
Napoli to win	44%	2.15	-5.9%
Over 2.5 goals	47%	1.95	-8.2%
Under 2.5 goals	53%	1.80	-4.6%
Fiorentina +0.5	56%	1.63	-9.1%
Napoli -0.5	44%	2.05	-9.6%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Fiorentina vs Napoli: Napoli shade it

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Fiorentina 28%, the draw 28% and Napoli 44%. The bookmakers agree and make Napoli the favourite at 2.15.
2
Recent form
Fiorentina took 4 points from their last 5 games and Napoli took 6 from 5. Napoli come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Fiorentina won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Napoli won 5 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Fiorentina score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Napoli score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Fiorentina games and 11 of Napoli games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Fiorentina won 0 and Napoli won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Napoli 2, Fiorentina 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Fiorentina form

Fiorentina have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Napoli form

Napoli have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Fiorentina won 0, Napoli won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Napoli 2, Fiorentina 1.

Our call

We expect Fiorentina to score about 1.1 goals and Napoli about 1.4. That points to Napoli to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.45.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Fiorentina vs Napoli?

Our prediction for Fiorentina vs Napoli is Napoli to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Fiorentina vs Napoli?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Fiorentina to score 1.1 goals and Napoli 1.4.

Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Napoli?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Fiorentina last 20 games and 10 of Napoli last 20.

How are Fiorentina playing?

How are Napoli playing?

What happened when Fiorentina and Napoli last met?

It ended Napoli 2, Fiorentina 1. In the last 2 meetings Fiorentina won 0 and Napoli won 2.

What is the best bet for Fiorentina vs Napoli?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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