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MLBSat 19 Sept, 01:40 EATGreat American Ball Park

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds prediction

Chicago CubsAway61%to win
5.4 : 4.4projected runs
Cincinnati RedsHome39%to win
Shujaa safe tipReds +3.51.39

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip72%
Reds +3.5Most likely to win
Fair 1.391 unit
Bold tip39%
Reds to winBigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.561 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds is Chicago Cubs to win, with a 61% chance. We project Chicago Cubs 5.4 and Cincinnati Reds 4.4. Our best bet is Reds +3.5 at 1.39.

Reds rest between games-5%Cubs rest between games-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Cincinnati RedsLLLLL
  • Lat Milwaukee Brewers9-13
  • Lat Milwaukee Brewers0-20
  • Lat Los Angeles Dodgers1-14
  • Lat Los Angeles Dodgers2-3
  • Lat Los Angeles Dodgers3-6
Chicago CubsWWLLL
  • Wv Pittsburgh Pirates4-3
  • Wv Pittsburgh Pirates12-2
  • Lat Milwaukee Brewers6-8
  • Lat Milwaukee Brewers3-4
  • Lat Milwaukee Brewers3-4

In numbers, Reds red and Cubs green

40%Win rate45%
4.8Runs scored per game6.8
7.7Runs conceded per game4.8
67% homeHome and away36% away

Last meetings

  • Chicago Cubs5-7Cincinnati Reds
  • Chicago Cubs17-5Cincinnati Reds
  • Chicago Cubs8-10Cincinnati Reds
  • Cincinnati Reds4-8Chicago Cubs
  • Cincinnati Reds3-5Chicago Cubs

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
RedsCubs
20Games played20
8Wins9
12Losses11
97Runs scored135
154Runs conceded95
4.8Scored per game6.8
7.7Conceded per game4.8
4W 2LHome record5W 4L
4W 10LAway record4W 7L

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Spread and total

Chance and fair price
Reds -0.535%2.82
Reds +0.545%2.24
Reds +1.554%1.85
Reds +2.563%1.58
Reds +3.572%1.39
Over 7.5 runs70%1.43
Over 8.5 runs62%1.62
Over 9.5 runs53%1.90
Over 10.5 runs44%2.29
Over 11.5 runs35%2.86

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds: Chicago Cubs are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cincinnati Reds 39% and Chicago Cubs 61%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cincinnati Reds won 0 of their last 5 and Chicago Cubs won 2 of their last 5. Chicago Cubs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cincinnati Reds won 4 of their last 6 games at home. Chicago Cubs won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Cincinnati Reds score 4.8 runs a game and let in 7.7. Chicago Cubs score 6.8 and let in 4.8. Their recent games average 12.6 and 11.5 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Cincinnati Reds won 2 and Chicago Cubs won 3. The last one ended Chicago Cubs 5, Cincinnati Reds 7.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Reds +3.5 has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Cincinnati Reds form

Cincinnati Reds have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 97 runs scored and 154 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Chicago Cubs form

Chicago Cubs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 135 runs scored and 95 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Cincinnati Reds won 2, Chicago Cubs won 3. Last time out it finished Chicago Cubs 5, Cincinnati Reds 7.

Our call

We expect Chicago Cubs to score about 5.4 runs and Cincinnati Reds about 4.4. That points to Chicago Cubs to win. Our safest bet is Reds +3.5 at 1.39. Our bold bet is Reds to win at 2.56.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds?

Our prediction for Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds is Chicago Cubs to win, with a 61% chance. We project Chicago Cubs 5.4 and Cincinnati Reds 4.4. Our best bet is Reds +3.5 at 1.39.

What is the projected score for Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds?

We project Chicago Cubs 5.4 and Cincinnati Reds 4.4, about 9.8 runs in total.

How are Cincinnati Reds playing?

Cincinnati Reds have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 97 runs scored and 154 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Chicago Cubs playing?

Chicago Cubs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 135 runs scored and 95 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs last met?

It ended Chicago Cubs 5, Cincinnati Reds 7. In the last 5 meetings Cincinnati Reds won 2 and Chicago Cubs won 3.

What is the best bet for Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds?

Reds +3.5 at 1.39, with a 72% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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