BrasileiraoThu 17 Sept, 01:30 EATJoao Havelange Stadium

Botafogo vs Grêmio prediction

BotafogoHome53%to win
1.67 : 0.98expected goalsDraw 26%
GrêmioAway21%to win
Shujaa safe tipBotafogo or Draw1.27

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip79%
Botafogo or DrawMost likely to win
Fair 1.272 units
Bold tip32%
Botafogo to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.151 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Botafogo vs Grêmio is Botafogo to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Botafogo or Draw at 1.27.

Botafogo recent form-1%Botafogo rest between games-5%Grêmio rest between games-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
BotafogoDDLLL
  • Dv Red Bull Bragantino1-1
  • Dv Palmeiras0-0
  • Lat Flamengo0-3
  • Lv Athletico-PR2-3
  • Lat Vitória0-1
GrêmioLLWLL
  • Lv Vasco da Gama1-2
  • Lat Vitória0-1
  • Wv Chapecoense3-1
  • Lat Red Bull Bragantino0-1
  • Lat Atlético-MG0-3

In numbers, Botafogo red and Grêmio green

1.3Points per game1.0
1.4Goals scored per game0.9
1.4Goals conceded per game1.3
15%Clean sheets25%

Last meetings

  • Grêmio5-3Botafogo
  • Botafogo3-2Grêmio
  • Grêmio1-1Botafogo

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
BotafogoGrêmio
20Games played20
6Wins5
8Draws5
6Losses10
28Goals scored18
29Goals conceded25
1.4Scored per game0.9
1.4Conceded per game1.3
3W 6D 2LHome record5W 2D 3L
3W 2D 4LAway record0W 3D 7L
15%Clean sheets25%
75%Both teams scored50%
60%Over 2.5 goals45%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.03
Over 3.5 goals27%3.65
Both teams to score51%1.95
Botafogo or draw79%1.27
Grêmio or draw47%2.12
Botafogo win and over 2.532%3.15
Grêmio win and over 2.512%8.47

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
1-011.1%
2-09.9%
2-19.6%
0-07.8%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Botafogo to win53%1.74-8.1%
A Draw26%3.65-6.0%
Grêmio to win21%4.30-7.7%
Over 2.5 goals51%1.77-10.2%
Under 2.5 goals49%1.87-7.9%
Botafogo -0.554%1.67-10.7%
Grêmio +0.546%1.95-9.4%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Botafogo vs Grêmio: Botafogo are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Botafogo 53%, the draw 26% and Grêmio 21%. The bookmakers agree and make Botafogo the favourite at 1.74.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Botafogo took 2 points from their last 5 games and Grêmio took 3 from 5. Grêmio come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Botafogo won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Grêmio won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Botafogo score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Grêmio score 0.9 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Botafogo games and 9 of Grêmio games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Botafogo won 1 and Grêmio won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Grêmio 5, Botafogo 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Botafogo or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Botafogo form

Botafogo have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Grêmio form

Grêmio have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Botafogo won 1, Grêmio won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Grêmio 5, Botafogo 3.

Our call

We expect Botafogo to score about 1.7 goals and Grêmio about 1.0. That points to Botafogo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Botafogo or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Botafogo to win and Over 2.5 at 3.15.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Botafogo vs Grêmio?

Our prediction for Botafogo vs Grêmio is Botafogo to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Botafogo or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Botafogo vs Grêmio?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Botafogo to score 1.7 goals and Grêmio 1.0.

Will both teams score in Botafogo vs Grêmio?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Botafogo last 20 games and 10 of Grêmio last 20.

How are Botafogo playing?

Botafogo have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Grêmio playing?

Grêmio have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Botafogo and Grêmio last met?

It ended Grêmio 5, Botafogo 3. In the last 3 meetings Botafogo won 1 and Grêmio won 1.

What is the best bet for Botafogo vs Grêmio?

Botafogo or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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