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ChampionshipSat 19 Sept, 17:00 EATSt. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough prediction

Birmingham CityHome39%to win
1.38 : 1.26expected goalsDraw 28%
MiddlesbroughAway34%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.34

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip75%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.341 unit
Bold tip13%
Correct score 1-1Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 7.601 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough is Birmingham City to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34.

Birmingham recent form+1%Boro recent form+3%Birmingham rest between games-5%Boro rest between games-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Birmingham CityWLDDW
  • Wat Derby County2-1
  • Lat Norwich City1-2
  • Dv Wolverhampton Wanderers2-2
  • Dv Southampton1-1
  • Wat Wrexham2-1
MiddlesbroughWLWDW
  • Wv Norwich City4-3
  • Lat Crystal Palace0-3
  • Wat Queens Park Rangers1-0
  • Dat Burnley1-1
  • Wv West Bromwich Albion3-1

In numbers, Birmingham red and Boro green

1.4Points per game1.5
1.1Goals scored per game1.5
1.3Goals conceded per game1.3
20%Clean sheets25%

Last meetings

  • Birmingham City1-3Middlesbrough
  • Middlesbrough2-1Birmingham City

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
BirminghamBoro
20Games played20
7Wins8
7Draws6
6Losses6
23Goals scored30
25Goals conceded25
1.1Scored per game1.5
1.3Conceded per game1.3
4W 4D 2LHome record6W 1D 2L
3W 3D 4LAway record2W 5D 4L
20%Clean sheets25%
65%Both teams scored60%
45%Over 2.5 goals60%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.04
Over 3.5 goals27%3.67
Both teams to score54%1.84
Birmingham or draw66%1.51
Boro or draw61%1.63
Birmingham win and over 2.523%4.36
Boro win and over 2.520%5.10

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
1-09.1%
2-18.5%
0-18.3%
0-07.9%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough: Birmingham City shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Birmingham City 39%, the draw 28% and Middlesbrough 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Birmingham City took 8 points from their last 5 games and Middlesbrough took 10 from 5. Middlesbrough come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Birmingham City won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Middlesbrough won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Birmingham City score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. Middlesbrough score 1.5 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Birmingham City games and 12 of Middlesbrough games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Birmingham City won 0 and Middlesbrough won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Birmingham City 1, Middlesbrough 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Birmingham City form

Birmingham City have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Middlesbrough form

Middlesbrough have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Birmingham City won 0, Middlesbrough won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Birmingham City 1, Middlesbrough 3.

Our call

We expect Birmingham City to score about 1.4 goals and Middlesbrough about 1.3. That points to Birmingham City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.60.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough?

Our prediction for Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough is Birmingham City to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34.

What is the score prediction for Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Birmingham City to score 1.4 goals and Middlesbrough 1.3.

Will both teams score in Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Birmingham City last 20 games and 12 of Middlesbrough last 20.

How are Birmingham City playing?

Birmingham City have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

How are Middlesbrough playing?

Middlesbrough have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Birmingham City and Middlesbrough last met?

It ended Birmingham City 1, Middlesbrough 3. In the last 2 meetings Birmingham City won 0 and Middlesbrough won 2.

What is the best bet for Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.34, with a 75% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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