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BrasileiraoMon 12 Oct, 01:30 EATArena Fonte Nova

Bahia vs Mirassol prediction

BahiaHome56%to win
1.66 : 0.83expected goalsDraw 26%
MirassolAway18%to win
Shujaa safe tipBahia or Draw1.27

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip79%
Bahia or DrawMost likely to win
Fair 1.272 units
Bold tip35%
Bahia to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.881 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Bahia vs Mirassol is Bahia to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Bahia or Draw at 1.27.

Bahia recent form+4%Mirassol recent form+1%Bahia league table+1%Mirassol league table-1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Bahia sits at number six with 46 points from 29 matches, while Mirassol is down at number 15 with 33 points. Recent form and league table movement favor the home side.

  2. 2

    Bahia enters this match with strong recent wins, including a three to two victory against Internacional and a two to zero win over Vitória. Mirassol also brings some decent form, such as a two to zero win against Botafogo and a two to two draw with Vitória.

  3. 3

    Our model gives Bahia a 56 in 100 chance to win, with expected goals set at 1.7 to 0.8. The strongest tip backs Bahia or a draw at 79 in 100.

  4. 4

    Remember that betting carries risk, so always stake wisely.

Verdict. Our lean is that Bahia holds the upper hand, but football remains unpredictable.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
BahiaLWWWW
  • Lat Athletico-PR1-2
  • Wv Remo2-1
  • Wat Red Bull Bragantino3-2
  • Wv Internacional3-2
  • Wat Vitória2-0
MirassolWDWLD
  • Wv Botafogo2-0
  • Dv Vitória2-2
  • Wat Coritiba2-1
  • Lat Flamengo0-2
  • Dv Palmeiras1-1

In numbers, Bahia red and Mirassol green

1.4Points per game1.3
1.6Goals scored per game1.1
1.4Goals conceded per game1.4
20%Clean sheets10%

Last meetings

  • Mirassol1-2Bahia

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
BahiaMirassol
20Games played20
7Wins7
8Draws5
5Losses8
31Goals scored23
28Goals conceded29
1.6Scored per game1.1
1.4Conceded per game1.4
4W 4D 2LHome record5W 3D 3L
3W 4D 3LAway record2W 2D 5L
20%Clean sheets10%
75%Both teams scored70%
60%Over 2.5 goals50%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Brasileirao
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
7. Bahia3113108+5491.58
14. Mirassol319913-8361.16

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Brasileirao table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Bahia
  • Ronaldo
    RonaldoKeeper · G
    2 saves
Mirassol
  • Walter
    WalterKeeper · G
    1 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.20
Over 3.5 goals24%4.14
Both teams to score47%2.15
Bahia or draw82%1.22
Mirassol or draw44%2.29
Bahia win and over 2.532%3.13
Mirassol win and over 2.59%11.15

Most likely scores

1-013.0%
1-112.1%
2-011.4%
2-19.5%
0-08.9%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Bahia v Mirassol

Our top pick is Bahia or Draw. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

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Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Bahia vs Mirassol: Bahia are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Bahia 56%, the draw 26% and Mirassol 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Bahia took 12 points from their last 5 games and Mirassol took 8 from 5. Bahia come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Bahia won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Mirassol won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Bahia score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Mirassol score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Bahia games and 10 of Mirassol games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Bahia won 1 and Mirassol won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Mirassol 1, Bahia 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bahia or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Bahia form

Bahia have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Mirassol form

Mirassol have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Bahia won 1, Mirassol won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Mirassol 1, Bahia 2.

Our call

We expect Bahia to score about 1.7 goals and Mirassol about 0.8. That points to Bahia to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Bahia or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Bahia to win and Over 2.5 at 2.88.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Bahia vs Mirassol?

Our prediction for Bahia vs Mirassol is Bahia to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Bahia or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Bahia vs Mirassol?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Bahia to score 1.7 goals and Mirassol 0.8.

Will both teams score in Bahia vs Mirassol?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Bahia last 20 games and 14 of Mirassol last 20.

How are Bahia playing?

Bahia have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Mirassol playing?

Mirassol have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Bahia and Mirassol last met?

It ended Mirassol 1, Bahia 2. In the last 1 meeting Bahia won 1 and Mirassol won 0.

What is the best bet for Bahia vs Mirassol?

Bahia or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Bahia against Mirassol. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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