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BrasileiraoSun 11 Oct, 22:00 EATArena MRV

Atlético-MG vs Santos prediction

Atlético-MGHome42%to win
1.70 : 1.52expected goalsDraw 25%
SantosAway34%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.24

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip81%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.242 units
Bold tip32%
Atlético-MG to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.081 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Atlético-MG vs Santos is Atlético-MG to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Santos recent form+4%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Atletico MG sits seventh in the table with forty four points from twenty nine matches, while Santos is close behind in eighth place with forty two points.

  2. 2

    Atletico MG recent form shows a one one draw with Chapecoense, a three one win over Fluminense, a two nil loss to Sao Paulo, a two one win against Vitoria, and a nil nil draw with Internacional.

  3. 3

    Santos comes into this match with improving form after recent wins against Remo, Cruzeiro, Internacional, and Corinthians, plus a one all draw with Mirassol.

  4. 4

    Our model gives Atletico MG a forty two percent chance to win, a twenty five percent chance for a draw, and Santos a thirty four percent chance with expected goals at one point seven to one point five.

Verdict. Remember that betting has risk, and while our strongest tip is over one point five goals at eighty one in one hundred, nothing is guaranteed.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Atlético-MGDWLWD
  • Dv Chapecoense1-1
  • Wv Fluminense3-1
  • Lat São Paulo0-2
  • Wv Vitória2-1
  • Dat Internacional0-0
SantosWWWWD
  • Wat Remo2-1
  • Wv Cruzeiro2-1
  • Wat Internacional3-2
  • Wat Corinthians1-0
  • Dv Mirassol1-1

In numbers, Atlético-MG red and Santos green

1.6Points per game1.6
1.4Goals scored per game1.6
1.1Goals conceded per game1.4
20%Clean sheets30%

Last meetings

  • Santos1-0Atlético-MG
  • Atlético-MG1-1Santos

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
Atlético-MGSantos
20Games played20
9Wins9
5Draws5
6Losses6
28Goals scored31
22Goals conceded27
1.4Scored per game1.6
1.1Conceded per game1.4
5W 3D 1LHome record5W 2D 3L
4W 2D 5LAway record4W 3D 3L
20%Clean sheets30%
50%Both teams scored60%
50%Over 2.5 goals60%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Brasileirao
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
6. Atlético-MG311489+7501.61
8. Santos3112910+2451.45

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Brasileirao table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Atlético-MG
  • Gabriel Delfim
    Gabriel DelfimKeeper · G
    2 saves
Santos
  • Diogenes
    DiogenesKeeper · G
    4 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.61
Over 3.5 goals40%2.50
Both teams to score64%1.55
Atlético-MG or draw66%1.51
Santos or draw58%1.71
Atlético-MG win and over 2.530%3.39
Santos win and over 2.524%4.20

Most likely scores

1-111.0%
2-18.8%
1-27.9%
2-26.7%
1-06.2%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Atlético-MG v Santos

Our top pick is Over 1.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

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Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Atlético-MG vs Santos: Atlético-MG shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlético-MG 42%, the draw 25% and Santos 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlético-MG took 8 points from their last 5 games and Santos took 13 from 5. Santos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlético-MG won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Santos won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlético-MG score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Santos score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Atlético-MG games and 12 of Santos games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Atlético-MG won 0 and Santos won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Santos 1, Atlético-MG 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Atlético-MG form

Atlético-MG have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Santos form

Santos have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Atlético-MG won 0, Santos won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Santos 1, Atlético-MG 0.

Our call

We expect Atlético-MG to score about 1.7 goals and Santos about 1.5. That points to Atlético-MG to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Atlético-MG to win and Over 2.5 at 3.08.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Atlético-MG vs Santos?

Our prediction for Atlético-MG vs Santos is Atlético-MG to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Atlético-MG vs Santos?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Atlético-MG to score 1.7 goals and Santos 1.5.

Will both teams score in Atlético-MG vs Santos?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Atlético-MG last 20 games and 12 of Santos last 20.

How are Atlético-MG playing?

Atlético-MG have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Santos playing?

Santos have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Atlético-MG and Santos last met?

It ended Santos 1, Atlético-MG 0. In the last 2 meetings Atlético-MG won 0 and Santos won 1.

What is the best bet for Atlético-MG vs Santos?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Atlético-MG against Santos. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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