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BrasileiraoSun 11 Oct, 22:00 EATArena MRV

Atlético-MG vs Santos prediction

Atlético-MGHome41%to win
1.69 : 1.52expected goalsDraw 25%
SantosAway34%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.24

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip80%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.242 units
Bold tip32%
Atlético-MG to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.111 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Atlético-MG vs Santos is Atlético-MG to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Santos recent form+4%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Atlético-MGDWLWD
  • Dv Chapecoense1-1
  • Wv Fluminense3-1
  • Lat São Paulo0-2
  • Wv Vitória2-1
  • Dat Internacional0-0
SantosWWWWD
  • Wat Remo2-1
  • Wv Cruzeiro2-1
  • Wat Internacional3-2
  • Wat Corinthians1-0
  • Dv Mirassol1-1

In numbers, Atlético-MG red and Santos green

1.6Points per game1.6
1.4Goals scored per game1.6
1.1Goals conceded per game1.4
20%Clean sheets30%

Last meetings

  • Santos1-0Atlético-MG
  • Atlético-MG1-1Santos

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
Atlético-MGSantos
20Games played20
9Wins9
5Draws5
6Losses6
28Goals scored31
22Goals conceded27
1.4Scored per game1.6
1.1Conceded per game1.4
5W 3D 1LHome record5W 2D 3L
4W 2D 5LAway record4W 3D 3L
20%Clean sheets30%
50%Both teams scored60%
50%Over 2.5 goals60%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals62%1.60
Over 3.5 goals40%2.49
Both teams to score64%1.55
Atlético-MG or draw66%1.52
Santos or draw59%1.71
Atlético-MG win and over 2.529%3.39
Santos win and over 2.524%4.17

Most likely scores

1-111.0%
2-18.8%
1-27.9%
2-26.7%
1-06.2%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Atlético-MG vs Santos: Atlético-MG shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlético-MG 41%, the draw 25% and Santos 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlético-MG took 8 points from their last 5 games and Santos took 13 from 5. Santos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlético-MG won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Santos won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlético-MG score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Santos score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Atlético-MG games and 12 of Santos games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Atlético-MG won 0 and Santos won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Santos 1, Atlético-MG 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Atlético-MG form

Atlético-MG have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Santos form

Santos have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Atlético-MG won 0, Santos won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Santos 1, Atlético-MG 0.

Our call

We expect Atlético-MG to score about 1.7 goals and Santos about 1.5. That points to Atlético-MG to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Atlético-MG to win and Over 2.5 at 3.11.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Atlético-MG vs Santos?

Our prediction for Atlético-MG vs Santos is Atlético-MG to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Atlético-MG vs Santos?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Atlético-MG to score 1.7 goals and Santos 1.5.

Will both teams score in Atlético-MG vs Santos?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Atlético-MG last 20 games and 12 of Santos last 20.

How are Atlético-MG playing?

Atlético-MG have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Santos playing?

Santos have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Atlético-MG and Santos last met?

It ended Santos 1, Atlético-MG 0. In the last 2 meetings Atlético-MG won 0 and Santos won 1.

What is the best bet for Atlético-MG vs Santos?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 80% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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