BrasileiraoSat 19 Sept, 22:00 EATArena MRV

Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense prediction

Atlético-MGHome65%to win
1 : 1final scoreDraw 21%
ChapecoenseAway14%to win
Shujaa safe tipAtlético-MG draw no bet1.20

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip83%
Atlético-MG draw no betMost likely to win
Fair 1.202 unitsvoid
Bold tip39%
Atlético-MG to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.581 unitlost

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense is Atlético-MG to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Atlético-MG draw no bet at 1.20.

Atlético-MG recent form+1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Atlético-MGWLWDW
  • Wv Fluminense3-1
  • Lat São Paulo0-2
  • Wv Vitória2-1
  • Dat Internacional0-0
  • Wv Grêmio3-0
ChapecoenseLWLWD
  • Lv Internacional1-2
  • Wat Corinthians2-1
  • Lat Grêmio1-3
  • Wv São Paulo1-0
  • Dv Bahia3-3

In numbers, Atlético-MG red and Chapecoense green

1.7Points per game0.5
1.4Goals scored per game0.9
1.1Goals conceded per game2.1
25%Clean sheets5%

Last meetings

  • Chapecoense0-4Atlético-MG

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
Atlético-MGChapecoense
20Games played20
10Wins2
4Draws4
6Losses14
28Goals scored19
21Goals conceded43
1.4Scored per game0.9
1.1Conceded per game2.1
6W 2D 1LHome record1W 2D 6L
4W 2D 5LAway record1W 2D 8L
25%Clean sheets5%
45%Both teams scored65%
50%Over 2.5 goals65%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Brasileirao
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
8. Atlético-MG271179+4401.48
20. Chapecoense273915-24180.67

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Brasileirao table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Atlético-MG

No player data yet.

Chapecoense
  • Anderson Paixão
    Anderson PaixãoKeeper · G
    8 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals56%1.78
Over 3.5 goals34%2.95
Both teams to score51%1.96
Atlético-MG or draw86%1.16
Chapecoense or draw35%2.85
Atlético-MG win and over 2.543%2.32
Chapecoense win and over 2.58%12.46

Most likely scores

2-011.4%
1-010.4%
1-110.0%
2-19.8%
3-07.9%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Atlético-MG to win64%1.41-10.3%
A Draw16%4.40-28.0%
Chapecoense to win9%7.00-35.1%
Atlético-MG -1.537%2.15-19.7%
Chapecoense +1.556%1.57-12.3%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense: Atlético-MG are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlético-MG 65%, the draw 21% and Chapecoense 14%. The bookmakers agree and make Atlético-MG the favourite at 1.41.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlético-MG took 10 points from their last 5 games and Chapecoense took 7 from 5. Atlético-MG come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlético-MG won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Chapecoense won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlético-MG score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Chapecoense score 0.9 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Atlético-MG games and 13 of Chapecoense games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Atlético-MG won 1 and Chapecoense won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Chapecoense 0, Atlético-MG 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Atlético-MG draw no bet has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Atlético-MG form

Atlético-MG have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Chapecoense form

Chapecoense have 2 wins, 4 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Atlético-MG won 1, Chapecoense won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Chapecoense 0, Atlético-MG 4.

Our call

We expect Atlético-MG to score about 2.1 goals and Chapecoense about 0.9. That points to Atlético-MG to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Atlético-MG draw no bet at 1.20. Our bold bet is Atlético-MG to win and Over 2.5 at 2.58.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense?

Our prediction for Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense is Atlético-MG to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Atlético-MG draw no bet at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Atlético-MG to score 2.1 goals and Chapecoense 0.9.

Will both teams score in Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Atlético-MG last 20 games and 13 of Chapecoense last 20.

How are Atlético-MG playing?

Atlético-MG have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Chapecoense playing?

Chapecoense have 2 wins, 4 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Atlético-MG and Chapecoense last met?

It ended Chapecoense 0, Atlético-MG 4. In the last 1 meeting Atlético-MG won 1 and Chapecoense won 0.

What is the best bet for Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense?

Atlético-MG draw no bet at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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