BrasileiraoSat 19 Sept, 22:00 EATArena MRV

Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense prediction

Atlético-MGHome65%to win
1.99 : 0.81expected goalsDraw 22%
ChapecoenseAway14%to win
Shujaa safe tipAtlético-MG draw no bet1.21

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip83%
Atlético-MG draw no betMost likely to win
Fair 1.212 units
Bold tip41%
Atlético-MG to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.441 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense is Atlético-MG to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Atlético-MG draw no bet at 1.21.

Atlético-MG recent form+1%Atlético-MG rest between games-5%Chapecoense rest between games-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Atlético-MGWLWDW
  • Wv Fluminense3-1
  • Lat São Paulo0-2
  • Wv Vitória2-1
  • Dat Internacional0-0
  • Wv Grêmio3-0
ChapecoenseLWLWD
  • Lv Internacional1-2
  • Wat Corinthians2-1
  • Lat Grêmio1-3
  • Wv São Paulo1-0
  • Dv Bahia3-3

In numbers, Atlético-MG red and Chapecoense green

1.7Points per game0.5
1.4Goals scored per game0.9
1.1Goals conceded per game2.1
25%Clean sheets5%

Last meetings

  • Chapecoense0-4Atlético-MG

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
Atlético-MGChapecoense
20Games played20
10Wins2
4Draws4
6Losses14
28Goals scored19
21Goals conceded43
1.4Scored per game0.9
1.1Conceded per game2.1
6W 2D 1LHome record1W 2D 6L
4W 2D 5LAway record1W 2D 8L
25%Clean sheets5%
45%Both teams scored65%
50%Over 2.5 goals65%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.89
Over 3.5 goals31%3.25
Both teams to score48%2.07
Atlético-MG or draw86%1.16
Chapecoense or draw35%2.83
Atlético-MG win and over 2.541%2.44
Chapecoense win and over 2.57%13.55

Most likely scores

2-012.1%
1-011.5%
1-110.4%
2-19.7%
3-08.0%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Atlético-MG to win65%1.41-9.0%
A Draw22%4.40-4.4%
Chapecoense to win14%7.00-4.4%
Over 2.5 goals53%1.74-7.9%
Under 2.5 goals47%1.95-8.1%
Atlético-MG -1.542%2.15-10.4%
Chapecoense +1.558%1.57-8.3%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense: Atlético-MG are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlético-MG 65%, the draw 22% and Chapecoense 14%. The bookmakers agree and make Atlético-MG the favourite at 1.41.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlético-MG took 10 points from their last 5 games and Chapecoense took 7 from 5. Atlético-MG come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlético-MG won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Chapecoense won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlético-MG score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Chapecoense score 0.9 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Atlético-MG games and 13 of Chapecoense games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Atlético-MG won 1 and Chapecoense won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Chapecoense 0, Atlético-MG 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Atlético-MG draw no bet has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Atlético-MG form

Atlético-MG have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Chapecoense form

Chapecoense have 2 wins, 4 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Atlético-MG won 1, Chapecoense won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Chapecoense 0, Atlético-MG 4.

Our call

We expect Atlético-MG to score about 2.0 goals and Chapecoense about 0.8. That points to Atlético-MG to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Atlético-MG draw no bet at 1.21. Our bold bet is Atlético-MG to win and Over 2.5 at 2.44.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense?

Our prediction for Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense is Atlético-MG to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Atlético-MG draw no bet at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Atlético-MG to score 2.0 goals and Chapecoense 0.8.

Will both teams score in Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Atlético-MG last 20 games and 13 of Chapecoense last 20.

How are Atlético-MG playing?

Atlético-MG have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Chapecoense playing?

Chapecoense have 2 wins, 4 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Atlético-MG and Chapecoense last met?

It ended Chapecoense 0, Atlético-MG 4. In the last 1 meeting Atlético-MG won 1 and Chapecoense won 0.

What is the best bet for Atlético-MG vs Chapecoense?

Atlético-MG draw no bet at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Atlético-MG against Chapecoense. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
  • Betting is not income. Never bet to pay rent, school fees or a loan, and never borrow to bet, including from mobile loan apps.
  • 18 and over only. Betting under 18 is illegal in Kenya.
  • Use licensed bookmakers. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya. Prices here can change before you bet, so check them first.
  • Gambling can be addictive. If it stops being fun, stop. Read our responsible betting page or visit Responsible Gaming Federation of Kenya.

Good to know: We are not a bookmaker and we do not take bets. Full details are in our disclaimer.