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BrasileiraoFri 9 Oct, 02:00 EATArena da Baixada

Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG prediction

Athletico-PRHome48%to win
1.47 : 0.95expected goalsDraw 28%
Atlético-MGAway24%to win
Shujaa safe tipUnder 3.5 goals1.31

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip77%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.312 units
Bold tip26%
Atlético-MG to winBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.85+1.6% value1 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG is Athletico-PR to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Athletico-PR recent form+1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Athletico-PRWDLDW
  • Wv Bahia2-1
  • Dat Coritiba3-3
  • Lat Cruzeiro1-3
  • Dv Fluminense3-3
  • Wat Botafogo3-2
Atlético-MGDWLWD
  • Dv Chapecoense1-1
  • Wv Fluminense3-1
  • Lat São Paulo0-2
  • Wv Vitória2-1
  • Dat Internacional0-0

In numbers, Athletico-PR red and Atlético-MG green

1.6Points per game1.6
1.4Goals scored per game1.4
1.2Goals conceded per game1.1
30%Clean sheets20%

Last meetings

  • Atlético-MG2-1Athletico-PR

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
Athletico-PRAtlético-MG
20Games played20
9Wins9
6Draws5
5Losses6
29Goals scored28
24Goals conceded22
1.4Scored per game1.4
1.2Conceded per game1.1
5W 4D 0LHome record5W 3D 1L
4W 2D 5LAway record4W 2D 5L
30%Clean sheets20%
55%Both teams scored50%
50%Over 2.5 goals50%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.28
Over 3.5 goals23%4.40
Both teams to score48%2.08
Athletico-PR or draw76%1.31
Atlético-MG or draw52%1.94
Athletico-PR win and over 2.527%3.75
Atlético-MG win and over 2.512%8.32

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-012.2%
2-09.6%
0-09.6%
2-19.1%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Athletico-PR to win47%2.05-3.1%
A Draw31%3.00-8.4%
Atlético-MG to win26%3.85+1.6%
Over 2.5 goals44%1.95-13.8%
Under 2.5 goals54%1.71-7.4%
Athletico-PR -0.546%1.95-11.1%
Atlético-MG +0.553%1.69-11.0%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG: Athletico-PR are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Athletico-PR 48%, the draw 28% and Atlético-MG 24%. The bookmakers agree and make Athletico-PR the favourite at 2.05.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Athletico-PR took 8 points from their last 5 games and Atlético-MG took 8 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Athletico-PR won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Atlético-MG won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Athletico-PR score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.2. Atlético-MG score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Athletico-PR games and 10 of Atlético-MG games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Athletico-PR won 0 and Atlético-MG won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Atlético-MG 2, Athletico-PR 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Athletico-PR form

Athletico-PR have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Atlético-MG form

Atlético-MG have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Athletico-PR won 0, Atlético-MG won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético-MG 2, Athletico-PR 1.

Our call

We expect Athletico-PR to score about 1.5 goals and Atlético-MG about 0.9. That points to Athletico-PR to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Atlético-MG to win at 3.85.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG?

Our prediction for Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG is Athletico-PR to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Athletico-PR to score 1.5 goals and Atlético-MG 0.9.

Will both teams score in Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Athletico-PR last 20 games and 10 of Atlético-MG last 20.

How are Athletico-PR playing?

Athletico-PR have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Atlético-MG playing?

Atlético-MG have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Athletico-PR and Atlético-MG last met?

It ended Atlético-MG 2, Athletico-PR 1. In the last 1 meeting Athletico-PR won 0 and Atlético-MG won 1.

What is the best bet for Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.31, with a 77% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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