BrasileiraoFri 9 Oct, 02:00 EATArena da Baixada

Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG prediction

Athletico-PRHome49%to win
1.49 : 0.97expected goalsDraw 28%
Atlético-MGAway24%to win
Shujaa safe tipUnder 3.5 goals1.31

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip76%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.312 units
Bold tip27%
Atlético-MG to winBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.751 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG is Athletico-PR to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Athletico-PR recent form+1%Atlético-MG league table0%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Athletico-PR sits at number 3 on the table with 49 points from 28 matches, while Atlético-MG is at number 7 with 43 points.

  2. 2

    Athletico-PR recent form is up and Atlético-MG league table position is down, which moved the numbers for this game.

  3. 3

    Our model gives Athletico-PR a 49 in 100 chance to win, a draw at 28 in 100, and Atlético-MG at 24 in 100 with expected goals of 1.5 to 1.0.

  4. 4

    Our strongest tip for this match is under 3.5 goals at 76 in 100, though betting has risk.

Verdict. Athletico-PR enters as the favorite based on recent form and table position, but remember that betting has risk.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Athletico-PRWDLDW
  • Wv Bahia2-1
  • Dat Coritiba3-3
  • Lat Cruzeiro1-3
  • Dv Fluminense3-3
  • Wat Botafogo3-2
Atlético-MGDWLWD
  • Dv Chapecoense1-1
  • Wv Fluminense3-1
  • Lat São Paulo0-2
  • Wv Vitória2-1
  • Dat Internacional0-0

In numbers, Athletico-PR red and Atlético-MG green

1.6Points per game1.6
1.4Goals scored per game1.4
1.2Goals conceded per game1.1
30%Clean sheets20%

Last meetings

  • Atlético-MG2-1Athletico-PR

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
Athletico-PRAtlético-MG
20Games played20
9Wins9
6Draws5
5Losses6
29Goals scored28
24Goals conceded22
1.4Scored per game1.4
1.2Conceded per game1.1
5W 4D 0LHome record5W 3D 1L
4W 2D 5LAway record4W 2D 5L
30%Clean sheets20%
55%Both teams scored50%
50%Over 2.5 goals50%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Brasileirao
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
3. Athletico-PR311588+12531.71
6. Atlético-MG311489+7501.61

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Brasileirao table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Athletico-PR
  • Mycael
    MycaelKeeper · G
    7 saves
Atlético-MG
  • Gabriel Delfim
    Gabriel DelfimKeeper · G
    8 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%2.25
Over 3.5 goals23%4.28
Both teams to score49%2.05
Athletico-PR or draw76%1.31
Atlético-MG or draw51%1.95
Athletico-PR win and over 2.527%3.69
Atlético-MG win and over 2.512%8.17

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-012.0%
2-09.5%
0-09.3%
2-19.2%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Athletico-PR to win50%2.05+2.2%
A Draw31%3.10-5.4%
Atlético-MG to win27%3.75-0.2%
Over 2.5 goals47%1.95-8.7%
Under 2.5 goals57%1.74-1.0%
Athletico-PR -0.548%1.95-6.8%
Atlético-MG +0.556%1.69-5.5%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Athletico-PR v Atlético-MG

Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG: Athletico-PR are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Athletico-PR 49%, the draw 28% and Atlético-MG 24%. The bookmakers agree and make Athletico-PR the favourite at 2.05.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Athletico-PR took 8 points from their last 5 games and Atlético-MG took 8 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Athletico-PR won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Atlético-MG won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Athletico-PR score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.2. Atlético-MG score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Athletico-PR games and 10 of Atlético-MG games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Athletico-PR won 0 and Atlético-MG won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Atlético-MG 2, Athletico-PR 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Athletico-PR form

Athletico-PR have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Atlético-MG form

Atlético-MG have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Athletico-PR won 0, Atlético-MG won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético-MG 2, Athletico-PR 1.

Our call

We expect Athletico-PR to score about 1.5 goals and Atlético-MG about 1.0. That points to Athletico-PR to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Atlético-MG to win at 3.75.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG?

Our prediction for Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG is Athletico-PR to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Athletico-PR to score 1.5 goals and Atlético-MG 1.0.

Will both teams score in Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Athletico-PR last 20 games and 10 of Atlético-MG last 20.

How are Athletico-PR playing?

Athletico-PR have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Atlético-MG playing?

Atlético-MG have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Athletico-PR and Atlético-MG last met?

It ended Atlético-MG 2, Athletico-PR 1. In the last 1 meeting Athletico-PR won 0 and Atlético-MG won 1.

What is the best bet for Athletico-PR vs Atlético-MG?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Athletico-PR against Atlético-MG. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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