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Saudi Pro LeagueFri 9 Oct, 21:00 EATAl-Awwal Park

Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah prediction

Al NassrHome52%to win
1.64 : 0.99expected goalsDraw 26%
Al DiriyahAway22%to win
Shujaa safe tipAl Nassr or Draw1.31

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip77%
Al Nassr or DrawMost likely to win
Fair 1.312 units
Bold tip34%
Al Nassr to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.931 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah is Al Nassr to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Al Nassr or Draw at 1.31.

Al Diriyah recent form+1%Al Nassr rest between games-3%Al Diriyah rest between games-3%Al Nassr league table+2%Al Diriyah league table-2%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Al Nassr sits third in the table with sixteen points from seven matches, while Al Diriyah is eighth with eleven points. Our model gives Al Nassr a win probability of 51 in 100.

  2. 2

    Al Nassr recently drew one one with Al Khaleej and beat Abha two to one. Al Diriyah drew zero zero with Abha and beat Al Fateh two to one.

  3. 3

    The expected goals are 1.6 to 1.0 in favor of Al Nassr. Al Diriyah recent form moved up, but Al Nassr league table position remains strong.

  4. 4

    Our strongest tip is Al Nassr or Draw at 76 in 100. Betting carries risk, so play carefully.

Verdict. Al Nassr enters as the favorite based on table position, but football has no guaranteed wins.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Al NassrDWLWW
  • Dat Al Khaleej1-1
  • Wv Abha2-1
  • Lat Al Ittihad1-2
  • Wv Al Taawoun2-1
  • Wat Al Ettifaq3-2
Al DiriyahDWLWD
  • Dv Abha0-0
  • Wat Al Fateh2-1
  • Lv Al Qadsiah0-2
  • Wat Al Ettifaq3-0
  • Dv Al Kholood1-1

In numbers, Al Nassr red and Al Diriyah green

2.5Points per game1.6
2.7Goals scored per game1.0
0.8Goals conceded per game0.7
45%Clean sheets43%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
Al NassrAl Diriyah
20Games played7
16Wins3
2Draws2
2Losses2
54Goals scored7
17Goals conceded5
2.7Scored per game1.0
0.8Conceded per game0.7
9W 1D 0LHome record0W 2D 2L
7W 1D 2LAway record3W 0D 0L
45%Clean sheets43%
55%Both teams scored29%
70%Over 2.5 goals29%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Saudi Pro League
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
3. Al Nassr8611+12192.38
8. Al Diriyah9333-1121.33

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Saudi Pro League table

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.05
Over 3.5 goals27%3.70
Both teams to score51%1.95
Al Nassr or draw78%1.28
Al Diriyah or draw48%2.08
Al Nassr win and over 2.531%3.21
Al Diriyah win and over 2.512%8.28

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-011.1%
2-09.7%
2-19.6%
0-07.9%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Al Nassr v Al Diriyah

Our top pick is Al Nassr or Draw. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

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Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah: Al Nassr are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Nassr 52%, the draw 26% and Al Diriyah 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Nassr took 10 points from their last 5 games and Al Diriyah took 8 from 5. Al Nassr come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Nassr won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Al Diriyah won 3 of their last 3 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Nassr score 2.7 goals a game and let in 0.8. Al Diriyah score 1.0 and let in 0.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Al Nassr games and 2 of Al Diriyah games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Al Nassr or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Al Nassr form

Al Nassr have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Al Diriyah form

Al Diriyah have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 7 games, with 7 goals scored and 5 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Al Nassr to score about 1.6 goals and Al Diriyah about 1.0. That points to Al Nassr to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Al Nassr or Draw at 1.31. Our bold bet is Al Nassr to win and Over 2.5 at 2.93.

News on these teams

All news
Saudi Pro League

Portugal FA Highlights Ronaldo Goal Days After Suspension

Saudi Pro League

Cristiano Ronaldo Scores on Al Nassr Return After Portugal Walkout

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah?

Our prediction for Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah is Al Nassr to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Al Nassr or Draw at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Al Nassr to score 1.6 goals and Al Diriyah 1.0.

Will both teams score in Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Al Nassr last 20 games and 2 of Al Diriyah last 7.

How are Al Nassr playing?

Al Nassr have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Al Diriyah playing?

Al Diriyah have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 7 games, with 7 goals scored and 5 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah?

Al Nassr or Draw at 1.31, with a 77% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Al Nassr against Al Diriyah. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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Good to know: We are not a bookmaker and we do not take bets. Full details are in our disclaimer.