Our tips
Locked two hours before kick offSafe tip82%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to winFair 1.222 units
Bold tip40%
Al Ahli to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more oftenFair 2.501 unit
Shujaa verdict
From results, prices, form and restOur prediction for Al Ahli vs Al Nassr is Al Ahli to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.
Al Ahli rest between games-3%Al Nassr rest between games-3%Al Ahli league table-1%Al Nassr league table+1%
Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works
Shujaa expert view
Our read for Kenya- 1
Al Ahli sits sixth on the table with fifteen points from eight matches, while Al Nassr stands third with nineteen points. Our model gives Al Ahli a fifty six percent chance to win, with twenty two percent for a draw and twenty two percent for Al Nassr. The expected goals are two point one for Al Ahli and one point three for Al Nassr. Both teams have seen their rest time between games go down, and Al Nassr moved up the table while Al Ahli dropped.
- 2
Al Ahli recent results include a three one win over Al Hazem, a three two loss to Al Qadsiah, a five zero win against Al Riyadh, a three zero loss to Al Hilal, and a three one loss to Al Kholood. Al Nassr played a one one draw with Al Khaleej, beat Abha two one, lost two one to Al Ittihad, beat Al Taawoun two one, and beat Al Ettifaq three two.
- 3
In past meetings, Al Nassr won two zero and Al Ahli won three two. Our strongest tip is over one point five goals at eighty two percent probability. Remember that betting has risk and nothing is certain.
Verdict. Our lean is that Al Ahli holds the edge from the model numbers, but Al Nassr brings strong table form.
Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.
Team records
Last 20 games, all competitions
Al AhliAl Nassr
20Games played20
14Wins16
1Draws2
5Losses2
47Goals scored54
21Goals conceded17
2.4Scored per game2.7
1.1Conceded per game0.8
9W 0D 0LHome record9W 1D 0L
5W 1D 5LAway record7W 1D 2L
40%Clean sheets45%
50%Both teams scored55%
75%Over 2.5 goals70%
Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.
Key players
Top of each side this seasonAl Ahli Al Nassr Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.
Goals and markets
Chance and fair priceBoth teams to score64%1.57
Al Ahli win and over 2.541%2.41
Al Nassr win and over 2.516%6.44
Most likely scores
1-19.8%
2-19.6%
2-07.6%
3-16.7%
1-06.7%
Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.
Where to bet on Al Ahli v Al Nassr
Our top pick is Over 1.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.
Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.
Match preview
Al Ahli vs Al Nassr: Al Ahli are favourites- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Al Ahli 56%, the draw 22% and Al Nassr 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
- 2
Recent formAl Ahli took 6 points from their last 5 games and Al Nassr took 10 from 5. Al Nassr come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayAl Ahli won 9 of their last 9 games at home. Al Nassr won 7 of their last 10 on the road.
- 4
GoalsAl Ahli score 2.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Al Nassr score 2.7 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Al Ahli games and 14 of Al Nassr games in that run.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 2 meetings, Al Ahli won 1 and Al Nassr won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Nassr 2, Al Ahli 0.
- 6
The safest betOver 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Al Ahli form
Al Ahli have 14 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.
Al Nassr form
Al Nassr have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Ahli won 1, Al Nassr won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Nassr 2, Al Ahli 0.
Our call
We expect Al Ahli to score about 2.1 goals and Al Nassr about 1.3. That points to Al Ahli to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Al Ahli to win and Over 2.5 at 2.50.
Questions people in Kenya ask
Who will win Al Ahli vs Al Nassr?
Our prediction for Al Ahli vs Al Nassr is Al Ahli to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.
What is the score prediction for Al Ahli vs Al Nassr?
1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Al Ahli to score 2.1 goals and Al Nassr 1.3.
Will both teams score in Al Ahli vs Al Nassr?
Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Al Ahli last 20 games and 11 of Al Nassr last 20.
How are Al Ahli playing?
Al Ahli have 14 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.
How are Al Nassr playing?
Al Nassr have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.
What happened when Al Ahli and Al Nassr last met?
It ended Al Nassr 2, Al Ahli 0. In the last 2 meetings Al Ahli won 1 and Al Nassr won 1.
What is the best bet for Al Ahli vs Al Nassr?
Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.
Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.
18+Read this before you bet
- There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Al Ahli against Al Nassr. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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