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EredivisieTue 15 Sept, 21:00 EATJohan Cruijff Arena

Ajax Amsterdam vs Willem II prediction

Ajax AmsterdamHome78%to win
3.38 : 1.25expected goalsDraw 13%
Willem IIAway10%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 3.5 goals1.59

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip61%
Over 3.5 goalsMost likely to win
Price 1.591 unit
Bold tip8%
Correct score 3-1Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 12.731 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs Willem II is Ajax Amsterdam to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is Over 3.5 goals at 1.59.

Ajax recent form+4%Willem II recent form-4%Ajax rest between games-5%Willem II rest between games-2%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Ajax AmsterdamWLWDW
  • Wat Fortuna Sittard5-1
  • Lv PSV Eindhoven1-3
  • Wat Telstar4-0
  • Dv Heerenveen2-2
  • Wat PEC Zwolle2-0
Willem IIDLDLL
  • Dat AZ Alkmaar1-1
  • Lv Excelsior0-3
  • Dv Heerenveen2-2
  • Lv NEC Nijmegen1-4
  • Lat Go Ahead Eagles1-4

In numbers, Ajax red and Willem II green

1.6Points per game0.4
1.9Goals scored per game1.0
1.0Goals conceded per game2.8
40%Clean sheets0%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
AjaxWillem II
20Games played5
8Wins0
8Draws2
4Losses3
38Goals scored5
20Goals conceded14
1.9Scored per game1.0
1.0Conceded per game2.8
3W 4D 3LHome record0W 1D 2L
5W 4D 1LAway record0W 1D 1L
40%Clean sheets0%
60%Both teams scored80%
55%Over 2.5 goals80%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals95%1.06
Over 2.5 goals84%1.19
Over 3.5 goals68%1.47
Both teams to score69%1.45
Ajax or draw90%1.11
Willem II or draw22%4.47
Ajax win and over 2.569%1.45
Willem II win and over 2.58%12.39

Most likely scores

3-17.9%
2-17.0%
4-16.6%
3-06.3%
2-05.6%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Ajax Amsterdam to win78%1.17-8.9%
A Draw13%8.00+0.8%
Willem II to win10%10.50+2.9%
Over 3.5 goals61%1.59-3.1%
Under 3.5 goals39%2.20-14.2%
Ajax Amsterdam -2.545%2.00-10.9%
Willem II +2.555%1.69-6.3%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Ajax Amsterdam vs Willem II: Ajax Amsterdam are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ajax Amsterdam 78%, the draw 13% and Willem II 10%. The bookmakers agree and make Ajax Amsterdam the favourite at 1.17.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ajax Amsterdam took 10 points from their last 5 games and Willem II took 2 from 5. Ajax Amsterdam come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Ajax Amsterdam score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.0. Willem II score 1.0 and let in 2.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Ajax Amsterdam games and 4 of Willem II games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 3.5 goals has a 61% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Ajax Amsterdam form

Ajax Amsterdam have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Willem II form

Willem II have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 games, with 5 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 2. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Ajax Amsterdam to score about 3.4 goals and Willem II about 1.3. That points to Ajax Amsterdam to win, with 3-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 3.5 goals at 1.59. Our bold bet is Correct score 3-1 at 12.73.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Ajax Amsterdam vs Willem II?

Our prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs Willem II is Ajax Amsterdam to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is Over 3.5 goals at 1.59.

What is the score prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs Willem II?

3-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 4-1. We expect Ajax Amsterdam to score 3.4 goals and Willem II 1.3.

Will both teams score in Ajax Amsterdam vs Willem II?

Both teams to score has a 69% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Ajax Amsterdam last 20 games and 4 of Willem II last 5.

How are Ajax Amsterdam playing?

Ajax Amsterdam have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Willem II playing?

Willem II have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 games, with 5 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 2. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Ajax Amsterdam vs Willem II?

Over 3.5 goals at 1.59, with a 61% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Ajax against Willem II. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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