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EredivisieSat 10 Oct, 22:00 EATJohan Cruijff Arena

Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen prediction

Ajax AmsterdamHome63%to win
2.51 : 1.30expected goalsDraw 19%
NEC NijmegenAway18%to win
Shujaa safe tipAjax Amsterdam or Draw1.26

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip79%
Ajax Amsterdam or DrawMost likely to win
Fair 1.262 units
Bold tip38%
Ajax Amsterdam to win and both scoreBigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.651 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen is Ajax Amsterdam to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Ajax Amsterdam or Draw at 1.26.

Ajax recent form+3%NEC recent form-4%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Ajax AmsterdamDWWLW
  • Dv Excelsior2-2
  • Wv Willem II5-1
  • Wat Fortuna Sittard5-1
  • Lv PSV Eindhoven1-3
  • Wat Telstar4-0
NEC NijmegenDLLDL
  • Dv Go Ahead Eagles1-1
  • Lat Juventus0-5
  • Lat SC Cambuur0-3
  • Dv Excelsior2-2
  • Lv Feyenoord Rotterdam1-3

In numbers, Ajax red and NEC green

1.6Points per game1.3
2.0Goals scored per game1.6
1.1Goals conceded per game1.6
40%Clean sheets10%

Last meetings

  • Ajax Amsterdam1-1NEC Nijmegen
  • NEC Nijmegen2-2Ajax Amsterdam

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
AjaxNEC
20Games played20
8Wins6
8Draws8
4Losses6
40Goals scored32
21Goals conceded33
2.0Scored per game1.6
1.1Conceded per game1.6
3W 5D 3LHome record2W 5D 3L
5W 3D 1LAway record4W 3D 3L
40%Clean sheets10%
60%Both teams scored80%
60%Over 2.5 goals65%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals90%1.11
Over 2.5 goals73%1.36
Over 3.5 goals53%1.89
Both teams to score67%1.49
Ajax or draw82%1.22
NEC or draw37%2.73
Ajax win and over 2.551%1.95
NEC win and over 2.513%7.43

Most likely scores

2-19.1%
1-17.7%
3-17.6%
2-07.0%
2-25.9%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Ajax Amsterdam to win65%1.30-14.8%
A Draw22%5.75+23.6%
NEC Nijmegen to win20%7.00+43.1%
Over 3.5 goals52%1.74-8.9%
Under 3.5 goals46%1.91-11.3%
Ajax Amsterdam -1.549%1.71-15.9%
NEC Nijmegen +1.550%1.91-5.0%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen: Ajax Amsterdam are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ajax Amsterdam 63%, the draw 19% and NEC Nijmegen 18%. The bookmakers agree and make Ajax Amsterdam the favourite at 1.30.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ajax Amsterdam took 10 points from their last 5 games and NEC Nijmegen took 2 from 5. Ajax Amsterdam come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ajax Amsterdam won 3 of their last 11 games at home. NEC Nijmegen won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Ajax Amsterdam score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.1. NEC Nijmegen score 1.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Ajax Amsterdam games and 13 of NEC Nijmegen games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Ajax Amsterdam won 0 and NEC Nijmegen won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Ajax Amsterdam 1, NEC Nijmegen 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Ajax Amsterdam or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Ajax Amsterdam form

Ajax Amsterdam have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

NEC Nijmegen form

NEC Nijmegen have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Ajax Amsterdam won 0, NEC Nijmegen won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Ajax Amsterdam 1, NEC Nijmegen 1.

Our call

We expect Ajax Amsterdam to score about 2.5 goals and NEC Nijmegen about 1.3. That points to Ajax Amsterdam to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Ajax Amsterdam or Draw at 1.26. Our bold bet is Ajax Amsterdam to win and both score at 2.65.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen is Ajax Amsterdam to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Ajax Amsterdam or Draw at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 3-1. We expect Ajax Amsterdam to score 2.5 goals and NEC Nijmegen 1.3.

Will both teams score in Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Ajax Amsterdam last 20 games and 16 of NEC Nijmegen last 20.

How are Ajax Amsterdam playing?

Ajax Amsterdam have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are NEC Nijmegen playing?

NEC Nijmegen have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Ajax Amsterdam and NEC Nijmegen last met?

It ended Ajax Amsterdam 1, NEC Nijmegen 1. In the last 2 meetings Ajax Amsterdam won 0 and NEC Nijmegen won 0.

What is the best bet for Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen?

Ajax Amsterdam or Draw at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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