EredivisieSat 19 Sept, 21:00 EATJohan Cruijff Arena

Ajax Amsterdam vs Excelsior prediction

Ajax AmsterdamHome36%to win
1.48 : 1.54expected goalsDraw 26%
ExcelsiorAway39%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.23

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip81%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.232 units
Bold tip26%
Excelsior to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.841 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs Excelsior is Excelsior to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Ajax recent form+4%Ajax rest between games-5%Excelsior rest between games-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Ajax AmsterdamWLWDW
  • Wat Fortuna Sittard5-1
  • Lv PSV Eindhoven1-3
  • Wat Telstar4-0
  • Dv Heerenveen2-2
  • Wat PEC Zwolle2-0
ExcelsiorLDWWL
  • Lv FC Utrecht1-2
  • Dat NEC Nijmegen2-2
  • Wat Willem II3-0
  • Wv Sparta Rotterdam2-1
  • Lv PSV Eindhoven1-2

In numbers, Ajax red and Excelsior green

1.6Points per game1.3
1.9Goals scored per game1.8
1.0Goals conceded per game1.4
40%Clean sheets20%

Last meetings

  • Excelsior2-2Ajax Amsterdam
  • Ajax Amsterdam1-2Excelsior

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
AjaxExcelsior
20Games played20
8Wins7
8Draws5
4Losses8
38Goals scored36
20Goals conceded28
1.9Scored per game1.8
1.0Conceded per game1.4
3W 4D 3LHome record2W 2D 6L
5W 4D 1LAway record5W 3D 2L
40%Clean sheets20%
60%Both teams scored70%
55%Over 2.5 goals75%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals58%1.72
Over 3.5 goals36%2.79
Both teams to score61%1.63
Ajax or draw61%1.63
Excelsior or draw64%1.56
Ajax win and over 2.524%4.16
Excelsior win and over 2.526%3.84

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
1-28.6%
2-18.2%
0-16.8%
1-06.5%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Ajax Amsterdam vs Excelsior: Excelsior shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ajax Amsterdam 36%, the draw 26% and Excelsior 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ajax Amsterdam took 10 points from their last 5 games and Excelsior took 7 from 5. Ajax Amsterdam come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ajax Amsterdam won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Excelsior won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Ajax Amsterdam score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.0. Excelsior score 1.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Ajax Amsterdam games and 15 of Excelsior games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Ajax Amsterdam won 0 and Excelsior won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Excelsior 2, Ajax Amsterdam 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Ajax Amsterdam form

Ajax Amsterdam have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Excelsior form

Excelsior have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Ajax Amsterdam won 0, Excelsior won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Excelsior 2, Ajax Amsterdam 2.

Our call

We expect Ajax Amsterdam to score about 1.5 goals and Excelsior about 1.5. That points to Excelsior to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Excelsior to win and Over 2.5 at 3.84.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Ajax Amsterdam vs Excelsior?

Our prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs Excelsior is Excelsior to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs Excelsior?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Ajax Amsterdam to score 1.5 goals and Excelsior 1.5.

Will both teams score in Ajax Amsterdam vs Excelsior?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Ajax Amsterdam last 20 games and 14 of Excelsior last 20.

How are Ajax Amsterdam playing?

Ajax Amsterdam have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Excelsior playing?

Excelsior have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Ajax Amsterdam and Excelsior last met?

It ended Excelsior 2, Ajax Amsterdam 2. In the last 2 meetings Ajax Amsterdam won 0 and Excelsior won 1.

What is the best bet for Ajax Amsterdam vs Excelsior?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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