Primeira LigaSun 20 Sept, 17:30 EATEstádio D. Afonso Henriques

Vitória de Guimaraes vs Moreirense prediction

Vitória de GuimaraesHome51%to win
1.37 : 0.74expected goalsDraw 29%
MoreirenseAway19%to win
Shujaa safe tipUnder 3.5 goals1.20

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip84%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.202 units
Bold tip16%
Correct score 1-0Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 6.301 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Vitória de Guimaraes vs Moreirense is Vitória de Guimaraes to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Vitória recent form-3%Moreirense recent form-3%Vitória rest between games-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Vitória de GuimaraesLDLWL
  • Lat Académico de Viseu1-2
  • Dv Casa Pia0-0
  • Lat Braga0-1
  • Wv C.D. Nacional1-0
  • Lat Sporting CP2-3
MoreirenseLLWLD
  • Lv Benfica0-4
  • Lat FC Porto1-2
  • Wat Casa Pia1-0
  • Lat Arouca0-4
  • Dv Braga2-2

In numbers, Vitória red and Moreirense green

0.9Points per game0.8
1.1Goals scored per game0.8
1.6Goals conceded per game1.8
25%Clean sheets15%

Last meetings

  • Vitória de Guimaraes1-0Moreirense

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
Vitória Moreirense
20Games played20
5Wins4
3Draws5
12Losses11
22Goals scored15
31Goals conceded35
1.1Scored per game0.8
1.6Conceded per game1.8
4W 2D 3LHome record2W 3D 5L
1W 1D 9LAway record2W 2D 6L
25%Clean sheets15%
45%Both teams scored45%
45%Over 2.5 goals50%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals63%1.58
Over 2.5 goals35%2.83
Over 3.5 goals16%6.10
Both teams to score40%2.52
Vitória or draw81%1.24
Moreirense or draw49%2.05
Vitória win and over 2.524%4.17
Moreirense win and over 2.58%12.67

Most likely scores

1-015.9%
1-113.0%
0-012.8%
2-011.4%
2-18.4%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Vitória de Guimaraes vs Moreirense: Vitória de Guimaraes are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vitória de Guimaraes 51%, the draw 29% and Moreirense 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vitória de Guimaraes took 4 points from their last 5 games and Moreirense took 4 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vitória de Guimaraes won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Moreirense won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Vitória de Guimaraes score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Moreirense score 0.8 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Vitória de Guimaraes games and 10 of Moreirense games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Vitória de Guimaraes won 1 and Moreirense won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Vitória de Guimaraes 1, Moreirense 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Vitória de Guimaraes form

Vitória de Guimaraes have 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Moreirense form

Moreirense have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Vitória de Guimaraes won 1, Moreirense won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Vitória de Guimaraes 1, Moreirense 0.

Our call

We expect Vitória de Guimaraes to score about 1.4 goals and Moreirense about 0.7. That points to Vitória de Guimaraes to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.30.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Vitória de Guimaraes vs Moreirense?

Our prediction for Vitória de Guimaraes vs Moreirense is Vitória de Guimaraes to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Vitória de Guimaraes vs Moreirense?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Vitória de Guimaraes to score 1.4 goals and Moreirense 0.7.

Will both teams score in Vitória de Guimaraes vs Moreirense?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Vitória de Guimaraes last 20 games and 9 of Moreirense last 20.

How are Vitória de Guimaraes playing?

Vitória de Guimaraes have 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Moreirense playing?

Moreirense have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Vitória de Guimaraes and Moreirense last met?

It ended Vitória de Guimaraes 1, Moreirense 0. In the last 1 meeting Vitória de Guimaraes won 1 and Moreirense won 0.

What is the best bet for Vitória de Guimaraes vs Moreirense?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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