Europa LeagueThu 22 Oct, 22:00 EATPreZero Arena

TSG Hoffenheim vs Lyon prediction

TSG HoffenheimHome28%to win
1.17 : 1.53expected goalsDraw 27%
LyonAway45%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.32

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip76%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.322 units
Bold tip30%
Lyon to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.301 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for TSG Hoffenheim vs Lyon is Lyon to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Hoffenheim recent form-4%Lyon recent form+4%Hoffenheim rest between games-3%Lyon rest between games-3%Hoffenheim league table-5%Lyon league table+5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    TSG Hoffenheim sits at rank 30 with zero points from two matches, while Lyon is higher up at rank 8 with six points. Hoffenheim comes into this match with poor recent form and less rest, whereas Lyon is enjoying upward form.

  2. 2

    Our model gives Lyon a 45 in 100 chance to win, a draw at 27 in 100, and a Hoffenheim win at 28 in 100. Expected goals range from 1.2 to 1.5 per team.

  3. 3

    Our strongest tip is Over 1.5 goals with a 76 in 100 chance of happening. Betting always carries risk so remember to play responsibly.

Verdict. Lyon holds the better form and table position, but football matches remain unpredictable.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
TSG HoffenheimLLWLL
  • Lat SC Paderborn 071-3
  • Lat OFI Crete0-2
  • Wv VfB Stuttgart2-1
  • Lv Borussia Dortmund2-3
  • Lat FC Cologne2-3
LyonWWDWD
  • Wv Stade Rennais4-0
  • Wat Anderlecht2-1
  • Dat Paris FC0-0
  • Wv AJ Auxerre3-1
  • Dv Le Havre AC1-1

In numbers, Hoffenheim red and Lyon green

1.3Points per game1.5
1.6Goals scored per game1.5
2.1Goals conceded per game1.3
10%Clean sheets30%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
HoffenheimLyon
20Games played20
7Wins8
4Draws6
9Losses6
32Goals scored30
42Goals conceded26
1.6Scored per game1.5
2.1Conceded per game1.3
5W 2D 3LHome record5W 2D 3L
2W 2D 6LAway record3W 4D 3L
10%Clean sheets30%
70%Both teams scored60%
80%Over 2.5 goals55%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Europa League
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
23. TSG Hoffenheim3102031.00
12. Lyon3201-162.00

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Europa League table

Key players

Top of each side this season
TSG Hoffenheim
  • Oliver Baumann
    Oliver BaumannKeeper · G
    2 saves
Lyon
  • Dominik Greif
    Dominik GreifKeeper · G
    5 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.97
Over 3.5 goals29%3.50
Both teams to score55%1.83
Hoffenheim or draw55%1.81
Lyon or draw72%1.40
Hoffenheim win and over 2.517%6.01
Lyon win and over 2.527%3.65

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
0-19.6%
1-29.2%
0-27.9%
0-07.4%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Hoffenheim v Lyon

Our top pick is Over 1.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

TSG Hoffenheim vs Lyon: Lyon shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives TSG Hoffenheim 28%, the draw 27% and Lyon 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    TSG Hoffenheim took 3 points from their last 5 games and Lyon took 11 from 5. Lyon come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    TSG Hoffenheim won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Lyon won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    TSG Hoffenheim score 1.6 goals a game and let in 2.1. Lyon score 1.5 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of TSG Hoffenheim games and 11 of Lyon games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

TSG Hoffenheim form

TSG Hoffenheim have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 42 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Lyon form

Lyon have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect TSG Hoffenheim to score about 1.2 goals and Lyon about 1.5. That points to Lyon to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Lyon to win and Over 2.5 at 3.30.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win TSG Hoffenheim vs Lyon?

Our prediction for TSG Hoffenheim vs Lyon is Lyon to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for TSG Hoffenheim vs Lyon?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect TSG Hoffenheim to score 1.2 goals and Lyon 1.5.

Will both teams score in TSG Hoffenheim vs Lyon?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of TSG Hoffenheim last 20 games and 12 of Lyon last 20.

How are TSG Hoffenheim playing?

TSG Hoffenheim have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 42 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Lyon playing?

Lyon have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for TSG Hoffenheim vs Lyon?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Hoffenheim against Lyon. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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