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Europa LeagueWed 16 Sept, 22:00 EATStadium of Light

Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar prediction

SunderlandHome47%to win
1.55 : 1.11expected goalsDraw 27%
AZ AlkmaarAway26%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.33

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip75%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.332 units
Bold tip27%
A DrawBigger price, loses more often
Price 4.10+9.6% value2 units

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar is Sunderland to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

AZ Alkmaar recent form+6%Sunderland rest between games-5%AZ Alkmaar rest between games-2%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
SunderlandLWDWL
  • Lv Arsenal0-2
  • Wv Hull City1-0
  • Dat Brentford1-1
  • Wv Fulham1-0
  • Lat Ipswich Town1-2
AZ AlkmaarDWWWW
  • Dv Willem II1-1
  • Wat Heerenveen3-2
  • Wv Go Ahead Eagles5-2
  • Wat Fortuna Sittard2-0
  • Wat FC Utrecht4-1

In numbers, Sunderland red and AZ Alkmaar green

1.4Points per game1.8
1.0Goals scored per game2.0
1.3Goals conceded per game1.3
30%Clean sheets35%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
SunderlandAZ Alkmaar
20Games played20
8Wins10
4Draws6
8Losses4
20Goals scored41
25Goals conceded25
1.0Scored per game2.0
1.3Conceded per game1.3
4W 1D 5LHome record6W 4D 0L
4W 3D 3LAway record4W 2D 4L
30%Clean sheets35%
45%Both teams scored50%
35%Over 2.5 goals65%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%2.01
Over 3.5 goals28%3.61
Both teams to score53%1.87
Sunderland or draw74%1.36
AZ Alkmaar or draw53%1.89
Sunderland win and over 2.528%3.53
AZ Alkmaar win and over 2.515%6.66

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
1-010.2%
2-19.3%
2-08.5%
0-07.7%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Sunderland to win47%1.67-21.7%
A Draw27%4.10+9.6%
AZ Alkmaar to win26%4.90+28.9%
Over 2.5 goals54%1.71-7.7%
Under 2.5 goals46%2.15-0.8%
Sunderland -0.555%1.61-12.4%
AZ Alkmaar +0.545%2.20-0.0%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar: Sunderland are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sunderland 47%, the draw 27% and AZ Alkmaar 26%. The bookmakers agree and make Sunderland the favourite at 1.67.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sunderland took 7 points from their last 5 games and AZ Alkmaar took 13 from 5. AZ Alkmaar come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sunderland won 4 of their last 10 games at home. AZ Alkmaar won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sunderland score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.3. AZ Alkmaar score 2.0 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Sunderland games and 13 of AZ Alkmaar games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Sunderland form

Sunderland have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

AZ Alkmaar form

AZ Alkmaar have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sunderland to score about 1.6 goals and AZ Alkmaar about 1.1. That points to Sunderland to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is A Draw at 4.10.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?

Our prediction for Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar is Sunderland to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Sunderland to score 1.6 goals and AZ Alkmaar 1.1.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Sunderland last 20 games and 10 of AZ Alkmaar last 20.

How are Sunderland playing?

Sunderland have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

How are AZ Alkmaar playing?

AZ Alkmaar have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Sunderland against AZ Alkmaar. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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