BrasileiraoSun 25 Oct, 03:00 EATEstádio Vila Belmiro (Urbano Caldeira)

Santos vs Bahia prediction

SantosHome40%to win
1.50 : 1.35expected goalsDraw 26%
BahiaAway34%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.30

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip77%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.302 units
Bold tip29%
Santos to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.501 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Santos vs Bahia is Santos to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Santos recent form+4%Bahia recent form+4%Santos rest between games-3%Santos league table-1%Bahia league table+1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
SantosWWWWD
  • Wat Remo2-1
  • Wv Cruzeiro2-1
  • Wat Internacional3-2
  • Wat Corinthians1-0
  • Dv Mirassol1-1
BahiaLWWWW
  • Lat Athletico-PR1-2
  • Wv Remo2-1
  • Wat Red Bull Bragantino3-2
  • Wv Internacional3-2
  • Wat Vitória2-0

In numbers, Santos red and Bahia green

1.6Points per game1.4
1.6Goals scored per game1.6
1.4Goals conceded per game1.4
30%Clean sheets20%

Last meetings

  • Bahia2-2Santos

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
SantosBahia
20Games played20
9Wins7
5Draws8
6Losses5
31Goals scored31
27Goals conceded28
1.6Scored per game1.6
1.4Conceded per game1.4
5W 2D 3LHome record4W 4D 2L
4W 3D 3LAway record3W 4D 3L
30%Clean sheets20%
60%Both teams scored75%
60%Over 2.5 goals60%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Brasileirao
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
8. Santos3011910+1421.40
5. Bahia3013107+8491.63

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Brasileirao table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Santos
  • Gabriel Barbosa
    Gabriel BarbosaTop scorer · F
    14 goals
  • Gabriel Barbosa
    Gabriel BarbosaMost assists · F
    3 assists
  • Gabriel Brazão
    Gabriel BrazãoKeeper · G
    68 saves
Bahia
  • Luciano Juba
    Luciano JubaTop scorer · D
    10 goals
  • Rodrigo Nestor
    Rodrigo NestorMost assists · M
    4 assists
  • Ronaldo
    RonaldoKeeper · G
    72 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.27
Over 2.5 goals54%1.84
Over 3.5 goals32%3.12
Both teams to score58%1.71
Santos or draw66%1.50
Bahia or draw60%1.67
Santos win and over 2.526%3.88
Bahia win and over 2.521%4.73

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
2-18.8%
1-07.9%
1-27.9%
0-17.1%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Santos v Bahia

Our top pick is Over 1.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Santos vs Bahia: Santos shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Santos 40%, the draw 26% and Bahia 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Santos took 13 points from their last 5 games and Bahia took 12 from 5. Santos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Santos won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Bahia won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Santos score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Bahia score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Santos games and 12 of Bahia games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Santos won 0 and Bahia won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Bahia 2, Santos 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Santos form

Santos have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Bahia form

Bahia have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Santos won 0, Bahia won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Bahia 2, Santos 2.

Our call

We expect Santos to score about 1.5 goals and Bahia about 1.4. That points to Santos to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Santos to win and Over 2.5 at 3.50.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Santos vs Bahia?

Our prediction for Santos vs Bahia is Santos to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Santos vs Bahia?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Santos to score 1.5 goals and Bahia 1.4.

Will both teams score in Santos vs Bahia?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Santos last 20 games and 15 of Bahia last 20.

How are Santos playing?

Santos have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Bahia playing?

Bahia have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Santos and Bahia last met?

It ended Bahia 2, Santos 2. In the last 1 meeting Santos won 0 and Bahia won 0.

What is the best bet for Santos vs Bahia?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Santos against Bahia. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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