MLBFri 2 Oct, 03:00 EATTruist Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves prediction

Philadelphia PhilliesAway47%to win
2 : 6final score
Atlanta BravesHome53%to win
Shujaa value tipOver 7.5 runs1.98

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip70%
Braves +1.5Most likely to win
Price 1.50+5.6% value2 unitswon
Value tip54%
Over 7.5 runsPrice pays more than it should
Price 1.98+6.8% value2 unitswon

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves is Atlanta Braves to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Phillies 3.7 and Atlanta Braves 4.0. Our best bet is Over 7.5 runs at 1.98.

Braves rest between games-5%Phillies rest between games-5%Braves team news-3%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Atlanta BravesLWLWL
  • Lv Philadelphia Phillies3-4
  • Wv Philadelphia Phillies5-3
  • Lat Miami Marlins3-5
  • Wat Miami Marlins8-3
  • Lat Miami Marlins0-3
Philadelphia PhilliesWLWLL
  • Wat Atlanta Braves4-3
  • Lat Atlanta Braves3-5
  • Wv Tampa Bay Rays7-3
  • Lv Tampa Bay Rays1-12
  • Lv Tampa Bay Rays0-2

In numbers, Braves red and Phillies green

50%Win rate40%
4.3Runs scored per game3.9
4.3Runs conceded per game5.0
45% homeHome and away45% away

Last meetings

  • Atlanta Braves3-4Philadelphia Phillies
  • Atlanta Braves5-3Philadelphia Phillies
  • Atlanta Braves4-9Philadelphia Phillies
  • Atlanta Braves12-2Philadelphia Phillies
  • Atlanta Braves6-5Philadelphia Phillies

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
BravesPhillies
20Games played20
10Wins8
10Losses12
85Runs scored78
87Runs conceded99
4.3Scored per game3.9
4.3Conceded per game5.0
5W 6LHome record3W 6L
5W 4LAway record5W 6L

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Spread and total

Chance and fair price
Braves -2.530%3.31
Braves -1.539%2.57
Braves -0.548%2.07
Braves +0.558%1.73
Braves +1.567%1.50
Over 5.5 runs69%1.44
Over 6.5 runs61%1.64
Over 7.5 runs52%1.92
Over 8.5 runs43%2.32
Over 9.5 runs34%2.90

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Braves to win53%1.88-0.3%
Phillies to win49%1.94-5.1%
Braves +1.570%1.50+5.6%
Phillies -1.535%2.62-8.2%
Over 7.5 runs54%1.98+6.8%
Under 7.5 runs48%1.85-11.2%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Braves v Phillies

Our top pick is Over 7.5 runs. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves: Atlanta Braves shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlanta Braves 53% and Philadelphia Phillies 47%. The bookmakers agree and make Atlanta Braves the favourite at 1.88.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlanta Braves won 2 of their last 5 and Philadelphia Phillies won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlanta Braves won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Philadelphia Phillies won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Atlanta Braves score 4.3 runs a game and let in 4.3. Philadelphia Phillies score 3.9 and let in 5.0. Their recent games average 8.6 and 8.8 runs in total, and the market line is 7.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Atlanta Braves won 3 and Philadelphia Phillies won 2. The last one ended Atlanta Braves 3, Philadelphia Phillies 4.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Over 7.5 runs is priced at 1.98. Our fair price is 1.85, so the bookmaker pays about 6.8% more than it should.

Atlanta Braves form

Atlanta Braves have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 85 runs scored and 87 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Philadelphia Phillies form

Philadelphia Phillies have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 78 runs scored and 99 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Atlanta Braves won 3, Philadelphia Phillies won 2. Last time out it finished Atlanta Braves 3, Philadelphia Phillies 4.

Our call

We expect Philadelphia Phillies to score about 3.7 runs and Atlanta Braves about 4.0. That points to Atlanta Braves to win. Our safest bet is Braves +1.5 at 1.50. Our value bet is Over 7.5 runs at 1.98.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves?

Our prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves is Atlanta Braves to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Phillies 3.7 and Atlanta Braves 4.0. Our best bet is Over 7.5 runs at 1.98.

What is the projected score for Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves?

We project Philadelphia Phillies 3.7 and Atlanta Braves 4.0, about 7.7 runs in total.

How are Atlanta Braves playing?

Atlanta Braves have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 85 runs scored and 87 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Philadelphia Phillies playing?

Philadelphia Phillies have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 78 runs scored and 99 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies last met?

It ended Atlanta Braves 3, Philadelphia Phillies 4. In the last 5 meetings Atlanta Braves won 3 and Philadelphia Phillies won 2.

What is the best bet for Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves?

Over 7.5 runs at 1.98, with a 54% chance. That price pays about 6.8% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Braves against Phillies. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
  • Betting is not income. Never bet to pay rent, school fees or a loan, and never borrow to bet, including from mobile loan apps.
  • 18 and over only. Betting under 18 is illegal in Kenya.
  • Use licensed bookmakers. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya. Prices here can change before you bet, so check them first.
  • Gambling can be addictive. If it stops being fun, stop. Read our responsible betting page or visit Responsible Gaming Federation of Kenya.

Good to know: We are not a bookmaker and we do not take bets. Full details are in our disclaimer.