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Scottish PremiershipTue 15 Sept, 21:45 EATFir Park

Motherwell vs Aberdeen prediction

MotherwellHome58%to win
1.77 : 0.88expected goalsDraw 24%
AberdeenAway18%to win
Shujaa value tipMotherwell to win1.83

Our three tips

Safe tip82%
Motherwell or DrawMost likely to win
Fair 1.222 units
Value tip58%
Motherwell to winPrice pays more than it should
Price 1.83+6.0% value2 units
Bold tip35%
Motherwell to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.861 unit

Shujaa verdict

Our prediction for Motherwell vs Aberdeen is Motherwell to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Motherwell to win at 1.83.

Prediction
Motherwell to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Motherwell 1.8, Aberdeen 0.9
Best bet
Motherwell to win at 1.83
Both teams to score
49%

What moved our number

  • Motherwellrecent form-3%
Motherwell L W D L LAberdeen W D L L W

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and stats

Recent form

Motherwell
  • Lat Rangers0-1
  • Wv Dundee United3-0
  • Dat St Mirren3-3
  • Dv Falkirk0-0
  • Wat Hibernian2-1
Aberdeen
  • Dv Kilmarnock0-0
  • Lat Celtic0-3
  • Lv Rangers0-1
  • Lat Dundee0-2
  • Wv Heart of Midlothian2-1

Head to head in numbers

1.4Points per game0.8
1.6Goals scored per game0.8
1.2Goals conceded per game1.6
40%Clean sheets25%

Last meetings

  • Motherwell2-0Aberdeen
  • Aberdeen1-1Motherwell
  • Motherwell2-0Aberdeen

Good to know: Red is Motherwell, green is Aberdeen.

Team records, last 20 games

MotherwellAberdeen
Games played2020
Wins84
Draws54
Losses712
Goals scored3216
Goals conceded2432
Scored per game1.60.8
Conceded per game1.21.6
Home record3W 4D 2L4W 2D 4L
Away record5W 1D 5L0W 2D 8L
Clean sheets40%25%
Both teams scored50%35%
Over 2.5 goals50%40%

Goals, BTTS and double chance

Chance for each market

Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals49%2.02
Over 3.5 goals28%3.63
Both teams to score49%2.03
Motherwell or draw82%1.22
Aberdeen or draw42%2.37
Motherwell win and over 2.535%2.86
Aberdeen win and over 2.59%10.59

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-011.8%
1-111.6%
2-011.1%
2-19.7%
0-07.7%

Good to know: Even the top score lands about one time in eight.

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Motherwell to win58%1.83+6.0%
A Draw24%3.70-9.5%
Aberdeen to win18%3.95-30.1%
Over 2.5 goals53%1.69-10.1%
Under 2.5 goals47%2.05-4.1%
Motherwell -0.554%1.77-5.0%
Aberdeen +0.546%1.91-11.6%

Match preview

Motherwell vs Aberdeen: Motherwell are favourites

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Motherwell 58%, the draw 24% and Aberdeen 18%. The bookmakers agree and make Motherwell the favourite at 1.83.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Motherwell took 8 points from their last 5 games and Aberdeen took 4 from 5. Motherwell come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Motherwell won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Aberdeen won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Motherwell score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.2. Aberdeen score 0.8 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Motherwell games and 8 of Aberdeen games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Motherwell won 2 and Aberdeen won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Motherwell 2, Aberdeen 0.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Motherwell to win is priced at 1.83. Our fair price is 1.73, so the bookmaker pays about 6.0% more than it should.

The big picture

Motherwell host Aberdeen in the Scottish Premiership on Tue 15 Sept, 21:45 at Fir Park. Our prediction for Motherwell vs Aberdeen is Motherwell to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Motherwell to win at 1.83.

Motherwell form

Motherwell have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, W, newest first.

Aberdeen form

Aberdeen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Motherwell won 2, Aberdeen won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Motherwell 2, Aberdeen 0.

Our call

We expect Motherwell to score about 1.8 goals and Aberdeen about 0.9. That points to Motherwell to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Motherwell or Draw at 1.22. Our value bet is Motherwell to win at 1.83. Our bold bet is Motherwell to win and Over 2.5 at 2.86.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Motherwell vs Aberdeen?

Our prediction for Motherwell vs Aberdeen is Motherwell to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Motherwell to win at 1.83.

What is the score prediction for Motherwell vs Aberdeen?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Motherwell to score 1.8 goals and Aberdeen 0.9.

Will both teams score in Motherwell vs Aberdeen?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Motherwell last 20 games and 7 of Aberdeen last 20.

How are Motherwell playing?

Motherwell have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, W, newest first.

How are Aberdeen playing?

Aberdeen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Motherwell and Aberdeen last met?

It ended Motherwell 2, Aberdeen 0. In the last 3 meetings Motherwell won 2 and Aberdeen won 0.

What is the best bet for Motherwell vs Aberdeen?

Motherwell to win at 1.83, with a 58% chance. That price pays about 6.0% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

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