Primeira LigaSat 31 Oct, 18:30 EATEstádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense vs Estrela prediction

MoreirenseHome36%to win

Sat 31 Oct, 18:301.60 : 1.71expected goalsDraw 24%

EstrelaAway40%to win

Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.22

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off

Safe tip82%

Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win

Fair 1.222 units

Bold tip32%

Estrela to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often

Fair 3.101 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Moreirense vs Estrela is Estrela to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Estrela recent form+1%Moreirense rest between games-3%Estrela rest between games-3%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya

1
Moreirense and Estrela meet in the Primeira Liga with very little separating them in the table. Moreirense sits ninth with eleven points from nine matches, while Estrela is right behind in twelfth place with ten points. Recent form shows Estrela improving their results, though both teams face challenges with short rest between matches.
2
Our model gives Estrela a slight edge at forty in one hundred for a win, compared to thirty six in one hundred for Moreirense and twenty four for a draw. Expected goals are close at one point six to one point seven.
3
The strongest tip for this match is over one point five goals, which our model rates at eighty two in one hundred. Past meetings between these two sides also produced goals, including a three to two win for Moreirense.
4
Betting always carries risk, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Verdict. Estrela has momentum from recent matches, but this game remains too close to call with goals being the safest expectation.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first

MoreirenseDWLLW

Dat Vitória de Guimaraes1-1
Wv Maritimo3-1
Lv Benfica0-4
Lat FC Porto1-2
Wat Casa Pia1-0

EstrelaLDWDW

Lv Académico de Viseu0-2
Dat Rio Ave3-3
Wv Braga2-1
Dv FC Famalicao2-2
Wat C.D. Nacional3-2

In numbers, Moreirense red and Estrela green

1.1Points per game0.8

0.9Goals scored per game1.4

1.7Goals conceded per game1.6

15%Clean sheets15%

Last meetings

Moreirense3-2Estrela
Estrela0-0Moreirense

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions

MoreirenseEstrela

20Games played20

5Wins3

6Draws8

9Losses9

18Goals scored27

34Goals conceded33

0.9Scored per game1.4

1.7Conceded per game1.6

3W 3D 4LHome record2W 4D 4L

2W 3D 5LAway record1W 4D 5L

15%Clean sheets15%

50%Both teams scored60%

50%Over 2.5 goals65%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Primeira Liga

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	PPG
9. Moreirense	11	4	2	5	-5	14	1.27
12. Estrela	11	2	4	5	-5	10	0.91

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Primeira Liga table

Key players

Top of each side this season

Moreirense

No player data yet.

Estrela

Leo LinckKeeper · G
2 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price

Over 1.5 goals85%1.18

Over 2.5 goals64%1.56

Over 3.5 goals42%2.37

Both teams to score66%1.52

Moreirense or draw60%1.67

Estrela or draw64%1.55

Moreirense win and over 2.526%3.90

Estrela win and over 2.529%3.42

Most likely scores

1-110.6%

1-28.5%

2-18.0%

2-26.8%

0-15.7%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Moreirense v Estrela

Our top pick is Over 1.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

BetWinner100% welcome bonus for new accountsBet now

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Moreirense vs Estrela: Estrela shade it

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Moreirense 36%, the draw 24% and Estrela 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Moreirense took 7 points from their last 5 games and Estrela took 8 from 5. Estrela come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Moreirense won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Estrela won 1 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Moreirense score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.7. Estrela score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Moreirense games and 13 of Estrela games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Moreirense won 1 and Estrela won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Moreirense 3, Estrela 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Moreirense form

Moreirense have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Estrela form

Estrela have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Moreirense won 1, Estrela won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Moreirense 3, Estrela 2.

Our call

We expect Moreirense to score about 1.6 goals and Estrela about 1.7. That points to Estrela to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Estrela to win and Over 2.5 at 3.10.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Moreirense vs Estrela?

Our prediction for Moreirense vs Estrela is Estrela to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Moreirense vs Estrela?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Moreirense to score 1.6 goals and Estrela 1.7.

Will both teams score in Moreirense vs Estrela?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Moreirense last 20 games and 12 of Estrela last 20.

How are Moreirense playing?

How are Estrela playing?

What happened when Moreirense and Estrela last met?

It ended Moreirense 3, Estrela 2. In the last 2 meetings Moreirense won 1 and Estrela won 0.

What is the best bet for Moreirense vs Estrela?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Moreirense against Estrela. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
Betting is not income. Never bet to pay rent, school fees or a loan, and never borrow to bet, including from mobile loan apps.
18 and over only. Betting under 18 is illegal in Kenya.
Use licensed bookmakers. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya. Prices here can change before you bet, so check them first.
Gambling can be addictive. If it stops being fun, stop. Read our responsible betting page or visit Responsible Gaming Federation of Kenya.

Good to know: We are not a bookmaker and we do not take bets. Full details are in our disclaimer.