Primeira LigaSat 31 Oct, 18:30 EATEstádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense vs Estrela prediction

MoreirenseHome35%to win
1.56 : 1.70expected goalsDraw 24%
EstrelaAway41%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.23

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip81%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.232 units
Bold tip32%
Estrela to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.091 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Moreirense vs Estrela is Estrela to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Estrela recent form+1%Moreirense rest between games-3%Estrela rest between games-3%Moreirense league table-1%Estrela league table+1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
MoreirenseDWLLW
  • Dat Vitória de Guimaraes1-1
  • Wv Maritimo3-1
  • Lv Benfica0-4
  • Lat FC Porto1-2
  • Wat Casa Pia1-0
EstrelaLDWDW
  • Lv Académico de Viseu0-2
  • Dat Rio Ave3-3
  • Wv Braga2-1
  • Dv FC Famalicao2-2
  • Wat C.D. Nacional3-2

In numbers, Moreirense red and Estrela green

1.1Points per game0.8
0.9Goals scored per game1.4
1.7Goals conceded per game1.6
15%Clean sheets15%

Last meetings

  • Moreirense3-2Estrela
  • Estrela0-0Moreirense

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
MoreirenseEstrela
20Games played20
5Wins3
6Draws8
9Losses9
18Goals scored27
34Goals conceded33
0.9Scored per game1.4
1.7Conceded per game1.6
3W 3D 4LHome record2W 4D 4L
2W 3D 5LAway record1W 4D 5L
15%Clean sheets15%
50%Both teams scored60%
50%Over 2.5 goals65%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Primeira Liga
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
11. Moreirense8224-781.00
10. Estrela8242-1101.25

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Primeira Liga table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Moreirense
  • Kiko
    KikoTop scorer · D
    1 goals
  • Kiko Bondoso
    Kiko BondosoMost assists · F
    1 assists
  • André Ferreira
    André FerreiraKeeper · G
    23 saves
Estrela
  • Leandro Antonetti
    Leandro AntonettiTop scorer · F
    4 goals
  • Eddy Doué
    Eddy DouéMost assists · M
    3 assists
  • Leo Linck
    Leo LinckKeeper · G
    23 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.58
Over 3.5 goals41%2.44
Both teams to score65%1.53
Moreirense or draw59%1.69
Estrela or draw65%1.53
Moreirense win and over 2.525%4.04
Estrela win and over 2.529%3.41

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
1-28.7%
2-17.9%
2-26.7%
0-15.9%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Moreirense v Estrela

Our top pick is Over 1.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Moreirense vs Estrela: Estrela shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Moreirense 35%, the draw 24% and Estrela 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Moreirense took 7 points from their last 5 games and Estrela took 8 from 5. Estrela come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Moreirense won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Estrela won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Moreirense score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.7. Estrela score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Moreirense games and 13 of Estrela games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Moreirense won 1 and Estrela won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Moreirense 3, Estrela 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Moreirense form

Moreirense have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Estrela form

Estrela have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Moreirense won 1, Estrela won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Moreirense 3, Estrela 2.

Our call

We expect Moreirense to score about 1.6 goals and Estrela about 1.7. That points to Estrela to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Estrela to win and Over 2.5 at 3.09.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Moreirense vs Estrela?

Our prediction for Moreirense vs Estrela is Estrela to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Moreirense vs Estrela?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Moreirense to score 1.6 goals and Estrela 1.7.

Will both teams score in Moreirense vs Estrela?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Moreirense last 20 games and 12 of Estrela last 20.

How are Moreirense playing?

Moreirense have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Estrela playing?

Estrela have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Moreirense and Estrela last met?

It ended Moreirense 3, Estrela 2. In the last 2 meetings Moreirense won 1 and Estrela won 0.

What is the best bet for Moreirense vs Estrela?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Moreirense against Estrela. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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