LaLigaSun 18 Oct, 19:30 EATLa Rosaleda

Málaga vs Real Sociedad prediction

MálagaHome31%to win
1.26 : 1.54expected goalsDraw 26%
Real SociedadAway43%to win
Shujaa safe tipMálaga +0.51.63

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip60%
Málaga +0.5Most likely to win
Price 1.631 unit
Bold tip34%
Málaga to winBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.10+4.0% value1 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Málaga vs Real Sociedad is Real Sociedad to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Málaga +0.5 at 1.63.

Málaga recent form-4%Málaga league table-2%Real Sociedad league table+3%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
MálagaLLDDL
  • Lat Getafe0-1
  • Lv Villarreal1-3
  • Dat Celta Vigo1-1
  • Dv Levante0-0
  • Lat Real Madrid0-4
Real SociedadWLLWD
  • Wat Valencia3-2
  • Lv AFC Bournemouth1-2
  • Lv Atlético Madrid0-3
  • Wat Elche3-2
  • Dv Celta Vigo0-0

In numbers, Málaga red and Real Sociedad green

0.4Points per game1.1
0.4Goals scored per game1.6
1.7Goals conceded per game1.9
14%Clean sheets10%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
MálagaReal Sociedad
7Games played20
0Wins5
3Draws6
4Losses9
3Goals scored31
12Goals conceded38
0.4Scored per game1.6
1.7Conceded per game1.9
0W 2D 1LHome record3W 3D 4L
0W 1D 3LAway record2W 3D 5L
14%Clean sheets10%
43%Both teams scored70%
29%Over 2.5 goals65%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

LaLiga
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
20. Málaga7034-930.43
8. Real Sociedad7313-4101.43

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full LaLiga table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Málaga
  • Chupete
    ChupeteTop scorer · F
    1 goals
  • Juan Antonio Cruz
    Juan Antonio CruzMost assists · D
    1 assists
  • Alfonso Herrero
    Alfonso HerreroKeeper · G
    28 saves
Real Sociedad
  • Luka Sucic
    Luka SucicTop scorer · M
    3 goals
  • Job Ochieng
    Job OchiengMost assists · F
    3 assists
  • Álex Remiro
    Álex RemiroKeeper · G
    23 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.88
Over 3.5 goals31%3.23
Both teams to score57%1.75
Málaga or draw57%1.76
Real Sociedad or draw69%1.44
Málaga win and over 2.519%5.32
Real Sociedad win and over 2.527%3.67

Most likely scores

1-112.5%
1-29.1%
0-18.6%
2-17.5%
0-27.2%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Málaga to win34%3.10+4.0%
A Draw29%3.45+1.0%
Real Sociedad to win42%2.20-7.2%
Over 2.5 goals56%1.74-1.6%
Under 2.5 goals47%2.00-5.7%
Málaga +0.560%1.63-2.0%
Real Sociedad -0.543%2.05-11.2%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Málaga v Real Sociedad

Our top pick is Málaga +0.5. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Málaga vs Real Sociedad: Real Sociedad shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Málaga 31%, the draw 26% and Real Sociedad 43%. The bookmakers agree and make Real Sociedad the favourite at 2.20.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Málaga took 2 points from their last 5 games and Real Sociedad took 7 from 5. Real Sociedad come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Málaga won 0 of their last 3 games at home. Real Sociedad won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Málaga score 0.4 goals a game and let in 1.7. Real Sociedad score 1.6 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Málaga games and 13 of Real Sociedad games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Málaga +0.5 has a 60% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Málaga form

Málaga have 0 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 7 games, with 3 goals scored and 12 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Real Sociedad form

Real Sociedad have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Málaga to score about 1.3 goals and Real Sociedad about 1.5. That points to Real Sociedad to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Málaga +0.5 at 1.63. Our bold bet is Málaga to win at 3.10.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Málaga vs Real Sociedad?

Our prediction for Málaga vs Real Sociedad is Real Sociedad to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Málaga +0.5 at 1.63.

What is the score prediction for Málaga vs Real Sociedad?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Málaga to score 1.3 goals and Real Sociedad 1.5.

Will both teams score in Málaga vs Real Sociedad?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 3 of Málaga last 7 games and 14 of Real Sociedad last 20.

How are Málaga playing?

Málaga have 0 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 7 games, with 3 goals scored and 12 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Real Sociedad playing?

Real Sociedad have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Málaga vs Real Sociedad?

Málaga +0.5 at 1.63, with a 60% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Málaga against Real Sociedad. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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