Europa LeagueThu 15 Oct, 19:45 EATMunicipal Stadium-Poznan

Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

Lech PoznanHome25%to win
1.30 : 1.96expected goalsDraw 23%
Bayer LeverkusenAway52%to win
Shujaa safe tipUnder 3.5 goals1.63

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip62%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to win
Price 1.63+1.0% value1 unit
Bold tip26%
A DrawBigger price, loses more often
Price 4.20+9.0% value2 units

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen is Bayer Leverkusen to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.63.

Lech Poznan recent form+3%Leverkusen recent form+3%Lech Poznan league table-5%Leverkusen league table+5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Lech PoznanLWLWW
  • Lat Crystal Palace0-4
  • Wat Shakhtar Donetsk2-1
  • Lv Shakhtar Donetsk1-3
  • Wv KuPS Kuopio1-0
  • Wat KuPS Kuopio2-0
Bayer LeverkusenWWDWL
  • Wv RB Leipzig2-0
  • Wv NK Celje2-0
  • Dat FC Augsburg2-2
  • Wv 1. FC Union Berlin4-0
  • Lat SV Elversberg2-3

In numbers, Lech Poznan red and Leverkusen green

1.7Points per game1.6
1.6Goals scored per game1.9
1.5Goals conceded per game1.4
27%Clean sheets30%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
Lech PoznanLeverkusen
11Games played20
6Wins8
1Draws8
4Losses4
18Goals scored38
16Goals conceded27
1.6Scored per game1.9
1.5Conceded per game1.4
3W 1D 1LHome record5W 5D 1L
3W 0D 3LAway record3W 3D 3L
27%Clean sheets30%
64%Both teams scored65%
64%Over 2.5 goals50%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Europa League
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
35. Lech Poznan1001-400.00
8. Bayer Leverkusen1100+233.00

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Europa League table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Lech Poznan
  • Mateusz Lis
    Mateusz LisKeeper · G
    2 saves
Bayer Leverkusen
  • Facundo Medina
    Facundo MedinaTop scorer · D
    1 goals
  • Aleix García
    Aleix GarcíaMost assists · M
    1 assists
  • Mark Flekken
    Mark FlekkenKeeper · G
    3 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.58
Over 3.5 goals41%2.44
Both teams to score63%1.59
Lech Poznan or draw48%2.09
Leverkusen or draw75%1.33
Lech Poznan win and over 2.517%5.87
Leverkusen win and over 2.538%2.65

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
1-29.6%
0-27.4%
0-17.0%
2-16.4%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Lech Poznan to win28%4.40+21.3%
A Draw26%4.20+9.0%
Bayer Leverkusen to win55%1.65-9.9%
Over 3.5 goals41%2.20-10.3%
Under 3.5 goals62%1.63+1.0%
Lech Poznan +0.544%2.10-7.2%
Bayer Leverkusen -0.559%1.59-5.6%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Lech Poznan v Leverkusen

Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen: Bayer Leverkusen are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Lech Poznan 25%, the draw 23% and Bayer Leverkusen 52%. The bookmakers agree and make Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 1.65.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Lech Poznan took 9 points from their last 5 games and Bayer Leverkusen took 10 from 5. Bayer Leverkusen come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Lech Poznan won 3 of their last 5 games at home. Bayer Leverkusen won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Lech Poznan score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.5. Bayer Leverkusen score 1.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Lech Poznan games and 10 of Bayer Leverkusen games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 62% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Lech Poznan form

Lech Poznan have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 11 games, with 18 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Bayer Leverkusen form

Bayer Leverkusen have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Lech Poznan to score about 1.3 goals and Bayer Leverkusen about 2.0. That points to Bayer Leverkusen to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.63. Our bold bet is A Draw at 4.20.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our prediction for Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen is Bayer Leverkusen to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.63.

What is the score prediction for Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect Lech Poznan to score 1.3 goals and Bayer Leverkusen 2.0.

Will both teams score in Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Lech Poznan last 11 games and 13 of Bayer Leverkusen last 20.

How are Lech Poznan playing?

Lech Poznan have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 11 games, with 18 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Bayer Leverkusen playing?

Bayer Leverkusen have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.63, with a 62% chance. That price pays about 1.0% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Lech Poznan against Leverkusen. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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