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EredivisieFri 16 Oct, 21:00 EATAbe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen vs Excelsior prediction

HeerenveenHome31%to win
1.35 : 1.64expected goalsDraw 25%
ExcelsiorAway44%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.29

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip77%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.292 units
Bold tip32%
Excelsior to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.111 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Heerenveen vs Excelsior is Excelsior to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Heerenveen recent form-1%Excelsior recent form+1%Heerenveen league table-1%Excelsior league table+1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
HeerenveenWDLDL
  • Wat Sparta Rotterdam4-0
  • Dv Telstar0-0
  • Lv AZ Alkmaar2-3
  • Dat Willem II2-2
  • Lv PEC Zwolle0-2
ExcelsiorDLDWW
  • Dat Ajax Amsterdam2-2
  • Lv FC Utrecht1-2
  • Dat NEC Nijmegen2-2
  • Wat Willem II3-0
  • Wv Sparta Rotterdam2-1

In numbers, Heerenveen red and Excelsior green

1.6Points per game1.3
1.8Goals scored per game1.8
1.4Goals conceded per game1.4
30%Clean sheets20%

Last meetings

  • Excelsior1-2Heerenveen
  • Heerenveen2-1Excelsior

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
HeerenveenExcelsior
20Games played20
9Wins7
5Draws5
6Losses8
35Goals scored36
28Goals conceded28
1.8Scored per game1.8
1.4Conceded per game1.4
6W 2D 2LHome record2W 1D 6L
3W 3D 4LAway record5W 4D 2L
30%Clean sheets20%
55%Both teams scored70%
70%Over 2.5 goals75%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Eredivisie
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
10. Heerenveen7232+291.29
7. Excelsior7322+6111.57

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Eredivisie table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Heerenveen
  • Jacob Trenskow
    Jacob TrenskowTop scorer · F
    3 goals
  • Levi Smans
    Levi SmansMost assists · M
    3 assists
  • Bernt Klaverboer
    Bernt KlaverboerKeeper · G
    21 saves
Excelsior
  • David Garden
    David GardenTop scorer · F
    3 goals
  • Irakli Yegoian
    Irakli YegoianMost assists · M
    5 assists
  • Stijn van Gassel
    Stijn van GasselKeeper · G
    21 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%2.86
Both teams to score60%1.66
Heerenveen or draw56%1.77
Excelsior or draw69%1.45
Heerenveen win and over 2.520%4.93
Excelsior win and over 2.529%3.42

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
1-29.1%
0-17.6%
2-17.5%
0-26.8%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Heerenveen v Excelsior

Our top pick is Over 1.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

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Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Heerenveen vs Excelsior: Excelsior shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Heerenveen 31%, the draw 25% and Excelsior 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Heerenveen took 5 points from their last 5 games and Excelsior took 8 from 5. Excelsior come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Heerenveen won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Excelsior won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Heerenveen score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Excelsior score 1.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Heerenveen games and 15 of Excelsior games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Heerenveen won 2 and Excelsior won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Excelsior 1, Heerenveen 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Heerenveen form

Heerenveen have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, L, newest first.

Excelsior form

Excelsior have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Heerenveen won 2, Excelsior won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Excelsior 1, Heerenveen 2.

Our call

We expect Heerenveen to score about 1.4 goals and Excelsior about 1.6. That points to Excelsior to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Excelsior to win and Over 2.5 at 3.11.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Heerenveen vs Excelsior?

Our prediction for Heerenveen vs Excelsior is Excelsior to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Heerenveen vs Excelsior?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Heerenveen to score 1.4 goals and Excelsior 1.6.

Will both teams score in Heerenveen vs Excelsior?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Heerenveen last 20 games and 14 of Excelsior last 20.

How are Heerenveen playing?

Heerenveen have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Excelsior playing?

Excelsior have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Heerenveen and Excelsior last met?

It ended Excelsior 1, Heerenveen 2. In the last 2 meetings Heerenveen won 2 and Excelsior won 0.

What is the best bet for Heerenveen vs Excelsior?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Heerenveen against Excelsior. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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