Champions LeagueTue 20 Oct, 22:00 EATEstádio do Dragão

FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven prediction

FC PortoHome45%to win
1.70 : 1.37expected goalsDraw 25%
PSV EindhovenAway30%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.27

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip79%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.272 units
Bold tip34%
FC Porto to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.971 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven is FC Porto to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

FC Porto recent form+4%PSV recent form+3%FC Porto league table-2%PSV league table+3%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
FC PortoWWLWW
  • Wv Benfica3-1
  • Wat Casa Pia4-1
  • Lv Manchester City0-2
  • Wv Moreirense2-1
  • Wat Académico de Viseu3-0
PSV EindhovenLWDWW
  • Lat FC Twente2-3
  • Wv Sparta Rotterdam4-1
  • Dv Shakhtar Donetsk1-1
  • Wat Ajax Amsterdam3-1
  • Wat FC Utrecht6-1

In numbers, FC Porto red and PSV green

2.4Points per game2.1
1.9Goals scored per game3.0
0.8Goals conceded per game1.5
45%Clean sheets5%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
FC PortoPSV
20Games played20
15Wins13
2Draws3
3Losses4
38Goals scored60
15Goals conceded30
1.9Scored per game3.0
0.8Conceded per game1.5
9W 2D 1LHome record7W 2D 1L
6W 0D 2LAway record6W 1D 3L
45%Clean sheets5%
45%Both teams scored95%
50%Over 2.5 goals90%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Champions League
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
31. FC Porto1001-200.00
20. PSV Eindhoven1010011.00

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Champions League table

Key players

Top of each side this season
FC Porto
  • Diogo Costa
    Diogo CostaKeeper · G
    8 saves
PSV Eindhoven
  • Sergiño Dest
    Sergiño DestTop scorer · D
    1 goals
  • Armando Obispo
    Armando ObispoMost assists · D
    1 assists
  • Matej Kovár
    Matej KovárKeeper · G
    1 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals59%1.69
Over 3.5 goals37%2.72
Both teams to score62%1.62
FC Porto or draw70%1.44
PSV or draw55%1.81
FC Porto win and over 2.531%3.26
PSV win and over 2.520%4.93

Most likely scores

1-111.5%
2-19.2%
1-27.4%
1-07.3%
2-06.7%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on FC Porto v PSV

Our top pick is Over 1.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: FC Porto shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Porto 45%, the draw 25% and PSV Eindhoven 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Porto took 12 points from their last 5 games and PSV Eindhoven took 10 from 5. FC Porto come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Porto won 9 of their last 12 games at home. PSV Eindhoven won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Porto score 1.9 goals a game and let in 0.8. PSV Eindhoven score 3.0 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of FC Porto games and 18 of PSV Eindhoven games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

FC Porto form

FC Porto have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

PSV Eindhoven form

PSV Eindhoven have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect FC Porto to score about 1.7 goals and PSV Eindhoven about 1.4. That points to FC Porto to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is FC Porto to win and Over 2.5 at 2.97.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our prediction for FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven is FC Porto to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect FC Porto to score 1.7 goals and PSV Eindhoven 1.4.

Will both teams score in FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of FC Porto last 20 games and 19 of PSV Eindhoven last 20.

How are FC Porto playing?

FC Porto have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are PSV Eindhoven playing?

PSV Eindhoven have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about FC Porto against PSV. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
  • Betting is not income. Never bet to pay rent, school fees or a loan, and never borrow to bet, including from mobile loan apps.
  • 18 and over only. Betting under 18 is illegal in Kenya.
  • Use licensed bookmakers. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya. Prices here can change before you bet, so check them first.
  • Gambling can be addictive. If it stops being fun, stop. Read our responsible betting page or visit Responsible Gaming Federation of Kenya.

Good to know: We are not a bookmaker and we do not take bets. Full details are in our disclaimer.