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Europa LeagueThu 17 Sept, 22:00 EATVodafone Park

Besiktas vs Marseille prediction

BesiktasHome55%to win
1.93 : 1.13expected goalsDraw 23%
MarseilleAway21%to win
Shujaa value tipBesiktas to win1.87

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip82%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.232 units
Value tip55%
Besiktas to winPrice pays more than it should
Price 1.87+3.4% value1 unit
Bold tip38%
Besiktas to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.621 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Besiktas vs Marseille is Besiktas to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Besiktas to win at 1.87.

Besiktas recent form+1%Marseille recent form-1%Besiktas rest between games-2%Marseille rest between games-2%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
BesiktasWWWLW
  • Wv Erzurum BB3-0
  • Wat Fenerbahce2-1
  • Wv Çorum FK6-2
  • Lat Alanyaspor0-1
  • Wv Eyupspor1-0
MarseilleLLLWW
  • Lat Stade Rennais0-1
  • Lv Paris FC2-3
  • Lat AS Monaco0-2
  • Wv Strasbourg4-0
  • Wv Stade Rennais3-1

In numbers, Besiktas red and Marseille green

1.9Points per game1.2
1.9Goals scored per game1.3
1.0Goals conceded per game1.7
35%Clean sheets20%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
BesiktasMarseille
20Games played20
12Wins7
3Draws3
5Losses10
38Goals scored25
20Goals conceded34
1.9Scored per game1.3
1.0Conceded per game1.7
7W 2D 2LHome record5W 2D 2L
5W 1D 3LAway record2W 1D 8L
35%Clean sheets20%
50%Both teams scored45%
60%Over 2.5 goals60%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.69
Over 3.5 goals37%2.73
Both teams to score59%1.71
Besiktas or draw79%1.27
Marseille or draw45%2.24
Besiktas win and over 2.538%2.62
Marseille win and over 2.514%7.28

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
2-19.9%
2-08.7%
1-08.4%
3-16.3%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Besiktas to win55%1.87+3.4%
A Draw23%4.00-6.9%
Marseille to win21%3.65-21.8%
Over 2.5 goals60%1.57-6.3%
Under 2.5 goals40%2.35-5.2%
Besiktas -0.553%1.77-7.0%
Marseille +0.547%1.87-11.3%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Besiktas vs Marseille: Besiktas are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Besiktas 55%, the draw 23% and Marseille 21%. The bookmakers agree and make Besiktas the favourite at 1.87.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Besiktas took 12 points from their last 5 games and Marseille took 6 from 5. Besiktas come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Besiktas won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Marseille won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Besiktas score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.0. Marseille score 1.3 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Besiktas games and 12 of Marseille games in that run.

  5. 5
    Where the value is

    Besiktas to win is priced at 1.87. Our fair price is 1.81, so the bookmaker pays about 3.4% more than it should.

Besiktas form

Besiktas have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Marseille form

Marseille have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Besiktas to score about 1.9 goals and Marseille about 1.1. That points to Besiktas to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our value bet is Besiktas to win at 1.87. Our bold bet is Besiktas to win and Over 2.5 at 2.62.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Besiktas vs Marseille?

Our prediction for Besiktas vs Marseille is Besiktas to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Besiktas to win at 1.87.

What is the score prediction for Besiktas vs Marseille?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Besiktas to score 1.9 goals and Marseille 1.1.

Will both teams score in Besiktas vs Marseille?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Besiktas last 20 games and 9 of Marseille last 20.

How are Besiktas playing?

Besiktas have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Marseille playing?

Marseille have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Besiktas vs Marseille?

Besiktas to win at 1.87, with a 55% chance. That price pays about 3.4% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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