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BrasileiraoSun 18 Oct, 00:30 EATArena MRV

Atlético-MG vs Coritiba prediction

Atlético-MGHome56%to win
1.91 : 1.10expected goalsDraw 23%
CoritibaAway21%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.28

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip78%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.282 units
Bold tip38%
Atlético-MG to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.651 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Atlético-MG vs Coritiba is Atlético-MG to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Atlético-MG rest between games-3%Coritiba rest between games-3%Atlético-MG league table+1%Coritiba league table-1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Atletico MG is currently in position seven with forty seven points from thirty games, while Coritiba sits in position eleven with thirty nine points.

  2. 2

    Recent matches show Atletico MG drew with Internacional and Chapecoense, and Coritiba suffered a heavy defeat against Vasco da Gama.

  3. 3

    Our model gives Atletico MG a fifty six percent chance to win, with expected goals set at 1.9 to 1.1.

  4. 4

    The strongest tip is over 1.5 goals happening at seventy eight percent, though betting has risks.

Verdict. Our lean is that Atletico MG holds the advantage based on table position, but football is unpredictable and betting carries risk.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Atlético-MGDWLWD
  • Dv Chapecoense1-1
  • Wv Fluminense3-1
  • Lat São Paulo0-2
  • Wv Vitória2-1
  • Dat Internacional0-0
CoritibaLDLWW
  • Lat Vasco da Gama0-5
  • Dv Athletico-PR3-3
  • Lv Mirassol1-2
  • Wat Remo3-2
  • Wv Corinthians2-1

In numbers, Atlético-MG red and Coritiba green

1.6Points per game1.3
1.4Goals scored per game1.4
1.1Goals conceded per game1.8
20%Clean sheets15%

Last meetings

  • Coritiba2-0Atlético-MG

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
Atlético-MGCoritiba
20Games played20
9Wins6
5Draws7
6Losses7
28Goals scored28
22Goals conceded35
1.4Scored per game1.4
1.1Conceded per game1.8
5W 3D 1LHome record4W 4D 3L
4W 2D 5LAway record2W 3D 4L
20%Clean sheets15%
50%Both teams scored65%
50%Over 2.5 goals65%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Brasileirao
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
6. Atlético-MG311489+7501.61
12. Coritiba3110912-11391.26

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Brasileirao table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Atlético-MG
  • Gabriel Delfim
    Gabriel DelfimKeeper · G
    3 saves
Coritiba
  • Pedro Luccas
    Pedro LuccasKeeper · G
    9 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.72
Over 3.5 goals36%2.81
Both teams to score58%1.74
Atlético-MG or draw79%1.27
Coritiba or draw44%2.25
Atlético-MG win and over 2.538%2.64
Coritiba win and over 2.513%7.55

Most likely scores

1-111.0%
2-19.9%
2-09.0%
1-08.7%
3-16.3%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Atlético-MG v Coritiba

Our top pick is Over 1.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

BetWinner100% welcome bonus for new accountsBet now

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Atlético-MG vs Coritiba: Atlético-MG are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlético-MG 56%, the draw 23% and Coritiba 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlético-MG took 8 points from their last 5 games and Coritiba took 7 from 5. Atlético-MG come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlético-MG won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Coritiba won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlético-MG score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Coritiba score 1.4 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Atlético-MG games and 13 of Coritiba games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Atlético-MG won 0 and Coritiba won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Coritiba 2, Atlético-MG 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Atlético-MG form

Atlético-MG have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Coritiba form

Coritiba have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Atlético-MG won 0, Coritiba won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Coritiba 2, Atlético-MG 0.

Our call

We expect Atlético-MG to score about 1.9 goals and Coritiba about 1.1. That points to Atlético-MG to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Atlético-MG to win and Over 2.5 at 2.65.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Atlético-MG vs Coritiba?

Our prediction for Atlético-MG vs Coritiba is Atlético-MG to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Atlético-MG vs Coritiba?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Atlético-MG to score 1.9 goals and Coritiba 1.1.

Will both teams score in Atlético-MG vs Coritiba?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Atlético-MG last 20 games and 13 of Coritiba last 20.

How are Atlético-MG playing?

Atlético-MG have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Coritiba playing?

Coritiba have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Atlético-MG and Coritiba last met?

It ended Coritiba 2, Atlético-MG 0. In the last 1 meeting Atlético-MG won 0 and Coritiba won 1.

What is the best bet for Atlético-MG vs Coritiba?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Atlético-MG against Coritiba. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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