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Serie AMon 12 Oct, 19:30 EATNew Balance Arena

Atalanta vs Venezia prediction

AtalantaHome58%to win
1.81 : 0.90expected goalsDraw 24%
VeneziaAway18%to win
Shujaa value tipUnder 3.5 goals1.54

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip67%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to win
Price 1.54+3.6% value1 unit
Value tip67%
Under 3.5 goalsPrice pays more than it should
Price 1.54+3.6% value1 unit
Bold tip27%
A DrawBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.75+1.2% value1 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Atalanta vs Venezia is Atalanta to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.54.

Atalanta recent form-1%Venezia recent form-7%Atalanta league table+3%Venezia league table-3%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Atalanta is in position eleven with six points from five games, while Venezia is at the bottom in position twenty with zero points. Recent form for both teams is down, with Atalanta losing to Juventus and Venezia losing to Lecce. Our model gives Atalanta a fifty eight percent chance to win, with expected goals at one point eight to zero point nine. The strongest tip is under three point five goals at sixty seven percent probability and four percent value.

  2. 2

    Remember that betting has risk and nothing is guaranteed.

Verdict. Our lean is that Atalanta has a better chance to win this match, but low scoring is the strongest value pick.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
AtalantaLLLWW
  • Lat Juventus0-2
  • Lv Cagliari1-2
  • Lat AS Roma1-2
  • Wv Bologna1-0
  • Wv Sassuolo2-1
VeneziaLLLLL
  • Lv Lazio0-2
  • Lv Fiorentina2-4
  • Lat Frosinone2-3
  • Lat AC Milan0-2
  • Lv Lecce0-2

In numbers, Atalanta red and Venezia green

1.1Points per game0.0
1.3Goals scored per game0.8
1.6Goals conceded per game2.6
20%Clean sheets0%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
AtalantaVenezia
20Games played5
6Wins0
5Draws0
9Losses5
26Goals scored4
32Goals conceded13
1.3Scored per game0.8
1.6Conceded per game2.6
4W 2D 4LHome record0W 0D 3L
2W 3D 5LAway record0W 0D 2L
20%Clean sheets0%
65%Both teams scored40%
55%Over 2.5 goals40%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Serie A
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
11. Atalanta7304-191.29
20. Venezia7106-1030.43

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Serie A table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Atalanta
  • Marco Carnesecchi
    Marco CarnesecchiKeeper · G
    3 saves
Venezia
  • Filip Stankovic
    Filip StankovicKeeper · G
    7 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.96
Over 3.5 goals29%3.47
Both teams to score50%1.98
Atalanta or draw82%1.22
Venezia or draw42%2.38
Atalanta win and over 2.536%2.80
Venezia win and over 2.510%10.21

Most likely scores

1-111.5%
1-011.4%
2-010.8%
2-19.8%
0-07.3%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Atalanta to win62%1.56-3.3%
A Draw27%3.75+1.2%
Venezia to win21%5.00+2.9%
Over 3.5 goals37%2.30-14.4%
Under 3.5 goals67%1.54+3.6%
Atalanta -0.563%1.51-4.1%
Venezia +0.539%2.25-11.6%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Atalanta v Venezia

Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

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Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Atalanta vs Venezia: Atalanta are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atalanta 58%, the draw 24% and Venezia 18%. The bookmakers agree and make Atalanta the favourite at 1.56.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atalanta took 6 points from their last 5 games and Venezia took 0 from 5. Atalanta come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Atalanta score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Venezia score 0.8 and let in 2.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Atalanta games and 2 of Venezia games in that run.

  4. 4
    Where the value is

    Under 3.5 goals is priced at 1.54. Our fair price is 1.49, so the bookmaker pays about 3.6% more than it should.

Atalanta form

Atalanta have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Venezia form

Venezia have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 5 games, with 4 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 2. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Atalanta to score about 1.8 goals and Venezia about 0.9. That points to Atalanta to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.54. Our value bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.54. Our bold bet is A Draw at 3.75.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Atalanta vs Venezia?

Our prediction for Atalanta vs Venezia is Atalanta to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.54.

What is the score prediction for Atalanta vs Venezia?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Atalanta to score 1.8 goals and Venezia 0.9.

Will both teams score in Atalanta vs Venezia?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Atalanta last 20 games and 2 of Venezia last 5.

How are Atalanta playing?

Atalanta have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Venezia playing?

Venezia have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 5 games, with 4 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 2. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Atalanta vs Venezia?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.54, with a 67% chance. That price pays about 3.6% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Atalanta against Venezia. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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