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Primeira LigaSat 19 Sept, 20:00 EATComplexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Alverca vs Rio Ave prediction

AlvercaHome43%to win
1.33 : 1.02expected goalsDraw 29%
Rio AveAway28%to win
Shujaa safe tipUnder 3.5 goals1.27

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip79%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.272 units
Bold tip14%
Correct score 1-1Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 7.301 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Alverca vs Rio Ave is Alverca to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Alverca recent form-1%Rio Ave recent form-4%Alverca rest between games-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
AlvercaWLDLD
  • Wat C.D. Nacional3-1
  • Lv Braga1-2
  • Dv Santa Clara1-1
  • Lat Sporting CP1-3
  • Dv Estrela2-2
Rio AveLLWLL
  • Lat Santa Clara0-4
  • Lv Sporting CP0-4
  • Wat Estoril2-0
  • Lv FC Porto0-2
  • Lat Gil Vicente0-1

In numbers, Alverca red and Rio Ave green

1.0Points per game0.9
1.1Goals scored per game0.8
1.4Goals conceded per game1.6
5%Clean sheets25%

Last meetings

  • Rio Ave1-2Alverca
  • Alverca1-1Rio Ave

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
AlvercaRio Ave
20Games played20
4Wins5
8Draws4
8Losses11
23Goals scored15
29Goals conceded33
1.1Scored per game0.8
1.4Conceded per game1.6
2W 5D 2LHome record1W 3D 6L
2W 3D 6LAway record4W 1D 5L
5%Clean sheets25%
75%Both teams scored35%
50%Over 2.5 goals50%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.45
Over 2.5 goals42%2.39
Over 3.5 goals21%4.71
Both teams to score48%2.09
Alverca or draw72%1.39
Rio Ave or draw57%1.76
Alverca win and over 2.523%4.39
Rio Ave win and over 2.514%7.16

Most likely scores

1-113.7%
1-011.9%
0-010.3%
0-18.9%
2-18.6%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Alverca vs Rio Ave: Alverca shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Alverca 43%, the draw 29% and Rio Ave 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Alverca took 5 points from their last 5 games and Rio Ave took 3 from 5. Alverca come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Alverca won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Rio Ave won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Alverca score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Rio Ave score 0.8 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Alverca games and 10 of Rio Ave games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Alverca won 1 and Rio Ave won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Rio Ave 1, Alverca 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Alverca form

Alverca have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Rio Ave form

Rio Ave have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Alverca won 1, Rio Ave won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Rio Ave 1, Alverca 2.

Our call

We expect Alverca to score about 1.3 goals and Rio Ave about 1.0. That points to Alverca to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.30.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Alverca vs Rio Ave?

Our prediction for Alverca vs Rio Ave is Alverca to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Alverca vs Rio Ave?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Alverca to score 1.3 goals and Rio Ave 1.0.

Will both teams score in Alverca vs Rio Ave?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Alverca last 20 games and 7 of Rio Ave last 20.

How are Alverca playing?

Alverca have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Rio Ave playing?

Rio Ave have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Alverca and Rio Ave last met?

It ended Rio Ave 1, Alverca 2. In the last 2 meetings Alverca won 1 and Rio Ave won 0.

What is the best bet for Alverca vs Rio Ave?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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