Saudi Pro LeagueFri 16 Oct, 21:00 EATPrince Abdullah Al-Faisal Stadium

Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab prediction

Al IttihadHome48%to win
1.38 : 0.89expected goalsDraw 29%
Al ShababAway23%to win
Shujaa safe tipUnder 3.5 goals1.29

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip77%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.292 units
Bold tip27%
Al Ittihad to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.701 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab is Al Ittihad to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Al Ittihad recent form+4%Al Shabab recent form-3%Al Ittihad rest between games-3%Al Ittihad league table+5%Al Shabab league table-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Al IttihadWWWDW
  • Wat Al Faisaly3-1
  • Wv Al Fayha2-1
  • Wv Al Nassr2-1
  • Dat Al Fateh0-0
  • Wv Al Hazem3-2
Al ShababDLLDD
  • Dv Al Fayha0-0
  • Lat Al Kholood1-2
  • Lv Al Hilal0-2
  • Dat Al Hazem1-1
  • Dv Al Riyadh3-3

In numbers, Al Ittihad red and Al Shabab green

1.8Points per game1.0
1.6Goals scored per game1.4
1.4Goals conceded per game1.9
30%Clean sheets15%

Last meetings

  • Al Shabab3-2Al Ittihad
  • Al Ittihad2-0Al Shabab

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
Al IttihadAl Shabab
20Games played20
10Wins4
5Draws8
5Losses8
31Goals scored29
28Goals conceded37
1.6Scored per game1.4
1.4Conceded per game1.9
6W 2D 2LHome record3W 3D 5L
4W 3D 3LAway record1W 5D 3L
30%Clean sheets15%
70%Both teams scored75%
55%Over 2.5 goals55%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Saudi Pro League
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
2. Al Ittihad7520+6172.43
14. Al Shabab7043-540.57

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Saudi Pro League table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Al Ittihad
  • Steven Bergwijn
    Steven BergwijnTop scorer · F
    4 goals
  • Houssem Aouar
    Houssem AouarMost assists · M
    2 assists
  • Predrag Rajkovic
    Predrag RajkovicKeeper · G
    27 saves
Al Shabab
  • Yannick Carrasco
    Yannick CarrascoTop scorer · M
    2 goals
  • Josh Brownhill
    Josh BrownhillMost assists · M
    2 assists
  • Mory Diaw
    Mory DiawKeeper · G
    13 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals67%1.49
Over 2.5 goals40%2.53
Over 3.5 goals19%5.16
Both teams to score45%2.23
Al Ittihad or draw77%1.31
Al Shabab or draw52%1.91
Al Ittihad win and over 2.524%4.14
Al Shabab win and over 2.511%9.18

Most likely scores

1-013.5%
1-113.5%
0-011.1%
2-09.9%
2-18.7%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Al Ittihad v Al Shabab

Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab: Al Ittihad are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Al Ittihad 48%, the draw 29% and Al Shabab 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Al Ittihad took 13 points from their last 5 games and Al Shabab took 3 from 5. Al Ittihad come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Al Ittihad won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Al Shabab won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Al Ittihad score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Al Shabab score 1.4 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Al Ittihad games and 11 of Al Shabab games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Al Ittihad won 1 and Al Shabab won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Al Shabab 3, Al Ittihad 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Al Ittihad form

Al Ittihad have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Al Shabab form

Al Shabab have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Al Ittihad won 1, Al Shabab won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Al Shabab 3, Al Ittihad 2.

Our call

We expect Al Ittihad to score about 1.4 goals and Al Shabab about 0.9. That points to Al Ittihad to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Al Ittihad to win and Over 2.5 at 3.70.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab?

Our prediction for Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab is Al Ittihad to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Al Ittihad to score 1.4 goals and Al Shabab 0.9.

Will both teams score in Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Al Ittihad last 20 games and 15 of Al Shabab last 20.

How are Al Ittihad playing?

Al Ittihad have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Al Shabab playing?

Al Shabab have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Al Ittihad and Al Shabab last met?

It ended Al Shabab 3, Al Ittihad 2. In the last 2 meetings Al Ittihad won 1 and Al Shabab won 1.

What is the best bet for Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Al Ittihad against Al Shabab. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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