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Conference LeagueThu 22 Oct, 22:00 EATJohan Cruijff Arena

Ajax Amsterdam vs Atalanta prediction

Ajax AmsterdamHome48%to win
1.79 : 1.32expected goalsDraw 24%
AtalantaAway28%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.26

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip79%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.262 units
Bold tip35%
Ajax Amsterdam to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.831 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs Atalanta is Ajax Amsterdam to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Ajax recent form+3%Atalanta recent form-1%Ajax rest between games-3%Atalanta rest between games-3%Ajax league table-5%Atalanta league table+5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Ajax Amsterdam and Atalanta meet in the Conference League. Ajax is currently ranked twenty fifth with zero points, while Atalanta sits at rank four with three points.

  2. 2

    Our model gives Ajax a forty eight in one hundred chance to win, a draw at twenty four in one hundred, and Atalanta twenty eight in one hundred. The expected goals are one point eight to one point three.

  3. 3

    Our strongest tip is over one point five goals at seventy nine in one hundred. Recent form is up for Ajax and down for Atalanta.

  4. 4

    Both teams have less rest between games. The league table position is down for Ajax and up for Atalanta.

Verdict. Remember that betting has risk, so our lean is that Ajax holds the edge in a match expected to see more than one goal.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Ajax AmsterdamDWWLW
  • Dv Excelsior2-2
  • Wv Willem II5-1
  • Wat Fortuna Sittard5-1
  • Lv PSV Eindhoven1-3
  • Wat Telstar4-0
AtalantaLLLWW
  • Lat Juventus0-2
  • Lv Cagliari1-2
  • Lat AS Roma1-2
  • Wv Bologna1-0
  • Wv Sassuolo2-1

In numbers, Ajax red and Atalanta green

1.6Points per game1.1
2.0Goals scored per game1.3
1.1Goals conceded per game1.6
40%Clean sheets20%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
AjaxAtalanta
20Games played20
8Wins6
8Draws5
4Losses9
40Goals scored26
21Goals conceded32
2.0Scored per game1.3
1.1Conceded per game1.6
3W 5D 3LHome record4W 2D 4L
5W 3D 1LAway record2W 3D 5L
40%Clean sheets20%
60%Both teams scored65%
60%Over 2.5 goals55%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Conference League
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
13. Ajax Amsterdam2101+131.50
15. Atalanta2101031.50

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Conference League table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Ajax Amsterdam
  • Marc-André ter Stegen
    Marc-André ter StegenKeeper · G
    1 saves
Atalanta
  • Marco Carnesecchi
    Marco CarnesecchiKeeper · G
    5 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.21
Over 2.5 goals60%1.66
Over 3.5 goals38%2.65
Both teams to score62%1.62
Ajax or draw72%1.39
Atalanta or draw52%1.91
Ajax win and over 2.533%3.00
Atalanta win and over 2.519%5.35

Most likely scores

1-111.2%
2-19.4%
1-07.3%
2-07.1%
1-27.0%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Ajax v Atalanta

Our top pick is Over 1.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

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Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Ajax Amsterdam vs Atalanta: Ajax Amsterdam are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ajax Amsterdam 48%, the draw 24% and Atalanta 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ajax Amsterdam took 10 points from their last 5 games and Atalanta took 6 from 5. Ajax Amsterdam come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Ajax Amsterdam won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Atalanta won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Ajax Amsterdam score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.1. Atalanta score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Ajax Amsterdam games and 11 of Atalanta games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Ajax Amsterdam form

Ajax Amsterdam have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Atalanta form

Atalanta have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Ajax Amsterdam to score about 1.8 goals and Atalanta about 1.3. That points to Ajax Amsterdam to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Ajax Amsterdam to win and Over 2.5 at 2.83.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Ajax Amsterdam vs Atalanta?

Our prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs Atalanta is Ajax Amsterdam to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs Atalanta?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Ajax Amsterdam to score 1.8 goals and Atalanta 1.3.

Will both teams score in Ajax Amsterdam vs Atalanta?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Ajax Amsterdam last 20 games and 13 of Atalanta last 20.

How are Ajax Amsterdam playing?

Ajax Amsterdam have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Atalanta playing?

Atalanta have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Ajax Amsterdam vs Atalanta?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Ajax against Atalanta. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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